993 
AXPZ20 KNHC 142150
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Aug 14 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 95W extending southward from
the Bay of Campeche, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Any nearby 
convection is discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 125W from 07N to 20N, moving
W at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is discussed in the 
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to a 1012 mb low pres 
near 12N101W to a 1013 mb low pres near 11N110W to a 1012 mb low 
pres near 13N119W to a 1012 mb low pres near 12N132W to beyond 
12N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 
occurring from 09N to 16N between 91W and 105W and from 10N to 
14N W of 120W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 5-7 ft are noted in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gentle to moderate NW winds are 
occurring off the coast of Baja California, with light to gentle 
winds and seas of 4-5 ft elsewhere. Seas of 1-3 ft prevail over 
the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, moderate NW winds will occur off of Baja 
California Norte tonight, with moderate to fresh NW winds 
continuing through this weekend. A building N swell will lead to
seas of 7-8 ft north of Punta Eugenia Thu into early next week. 
Fresh, to at times strong, N winds will continue to pulse in the 
Tehuantepec region through Thu. Otherwise, a weak pressure 
pattern will support light to gentle winds and moderate seas 
through this weekend.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Pulsing moderate to fresh NE winds are noted across the Gulf of 
Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere 
across the offshore waters. Seas of 3-5 ft prevail across the
whole forecast area.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds will continue to pulse
at night in the Gulf of Papagayo into Fri. Gentle to moderate S 
to SW winds will prevail south of the monsoon trough through this
weekend, and light to gentle winds will prevail north of the 
monsoon trough. Seas will generally remain 4-6 ft.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate to locally fresh SW winds are occurring south of the 
monsoon trough and moderate to locally fresh NE winds are noted 
north of the trough W of 125W. Moderate or weaker winds and 
slight to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the area.

Moderate to fresh S winds will continue south of the monsoon 
trough through tonight, with moderate NE winds persisting north 
of the trough through Fri. Moderate to fresh N to NW winds and 
seas of 8 to 9 feet will develop across the north-central waters
Thu through this weekend. Fresh to locally strong S to SW winds 
could develop south of the monsoon trough this weekend. 
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are 
expected. 

$$
ADAMS