000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140846
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Aug 14 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 94W extending southward from
the W Caribbean, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. No significant 
convection is present at this time. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 122W from 12N to 19N, moving
W at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is discussed in the 
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 1011 mb low pres near 
09N97W to another 1010 low pres near 09N109W to 15N121W to 
11N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 11N 
between 96W and 102W, and from 07N to 16N and W of 110W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 5-7 ft are noted in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, including the Gulf of
California, a weak pressure pattern is supporting light to 
gentle winds and seas of 4-5 ft. Seas of 1-3 ft prevail over the 
Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, moderate NW winds will develop off of Baja 
California Norte today, with moderate to fresh winds continuing 
into this weekend. A building N swell will lead to seas of 7-8 
ft north of Punta Eugenia Thu into Sun. Fresh N winds will 
continue to pulse in the Tehuantepec region each night through 
Wed. Otherwise, a weak pressure pattern will support light to 
gentle winds and moderate seas through the rest of this week.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Pulsing moderate to fresh NE winds are noted across the Gulf of 
Papagayo region. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere 
across the offshore waters. Seas of 3-5 ft prevail across the
whole forecast area.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds will continue to pulse
at night in the Gulf of Papagayo through Thu. Gentle to moderate
S to SW winds will prevail south of the monsoon trough through 
the rest of this week, and light to gentle winds will prevail 
north of the monsoon trough. Seas will be generally in the 4 to 6
ft range.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate to fresh SW winds are occurring south of the monsoon 
trough west of 120W, and moderate to fresh NE winds are noted 
north of the trough. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to 
moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the area.

Moderate to fresh S winds will continue south of the monsoon 
trough through today, with moderate NE winds persisting north of
the trough. Moderate to fresh N to NW winds and seas of 8 to 9 
feet will develop across the central waters Fri into Sat. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are expected. 

$$
ERA