000
AXPZ20 KNHC 131543
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Tue Aug 13 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 81W extending southward from
the W Caribbean, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. No significant 
convection is present at this time. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 118W from 12N to 19N, moving
W at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is discussed in the 
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 12N86W to 14N110W to beyond 
10N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N 
between 80W and 87W, from 06N to 12N between 101W and 110W, and 
from 08N to 16N between 120W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds and seas of 5-6 ft are 
noted in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, a weak pressure 
pattern is supporting light to gentle winds and seas of 4-5 ft. 
Light to gentle winds and seas of 1-3 ft prevail over the Gulf of
California. 

For the forecast, moderate NW winds will develop off the Baja 
California peninsula by midweek. Fresh northerly winds will 
continue to pulse in the Tehuantepec region each night through 
Wed. Otherwise, a weak pressure pattern will support light to 
gentle winds and moderate seas through the rest of this week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate NE winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo with seas 
of 5 to 6 ft. Light to gentle winds and seas of 4-5 ft are 
elsewhere N of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds and 
seas of 4-6 ft are noted south of the monsoon trough. 

For the forecast, moderate NE winds will continue to pulse in the
Gulf of Papagayo through Thu. Gentle to moderate S to SW winds 
will prevail south of the monsoon trough through the rest of this
week. Light to gentle winds will prevail N of the monsoon 
trough. Seas will be generally in the 4 to 6 ft range.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A trough extends from 27N139W to 21N139W. An area of moderate 
winds is noted NW of the trough, with maximum seas to 6 ft. 
Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh S winds prevail south of 
the monsoon trough between 92W and 105W as well as between 117W 
and 130W with seas of 6 ft. Moderate or weaker winds and slight 
to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the area.

For the forecast, the trough will move W of the area on Tue.
Moderate to locally fresh S winds will continue south of the
monsoon trough into Wed morning. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker 
winds and moderate seas are expected. 

$$
ADAMS