624 
AXPZ20 KNHC 120220
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Aug 12 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 108W and N of 07N, moving W 
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 15N108W to 12N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 
90W and 100W, and from 05N to 11N between 114W and 131W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge prevails between the W coast of Baja California and the 
remnant low of Emilia. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 4-5 ft, 
are noted west of the Baja peninsula. Moderate to fresh winds,
and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail over the Gulf of California. Fresh  
winds, and seas of 5-6 ft are noted in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. 
Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft prevail elsewhere. 

For the forecast, a ridge will prevail across the offshore 
waters of Baja California, supporting gentle to moderate winds 
and moderate seas through at least mid-week. Seas will briefly 
build to 6-7 ft N of Punta Eugenia late Thu or Thu night. Fresh 
northerly winds will pulse in the Tehuantepec region each night 
through the week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to fresh NE winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo 
and downwind to about 89W with seas of 5 to 6 ft. Light to 
gentle winds, and seas of 4-5 ft are elsewhere N of the monsoon 
trough. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft are noted 
south of the monsoon trough. 

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds are expected in the 
Gulf of Papagayo through Mon. Otherwise, mainly gentle to 
moderate S to SW winds will prevail south of the monsoon trough, 
with light to gentle winds N of the monsoon trough. Seas will be 
generally in the 4 to 6 ft range.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The persistent remnant low of Emilia is analyzed near 26N135W 
with a central pressure of 1014 mb. An area of fresh winds is 
noted within about 120 nm NW quadrant of the low center with 
maximum seas to 7 ft. Elsewhere, fresh southerly winds prevail 
south of the monsoon trough between 110W and 120W with seas of 8 
to 9 ft. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas 
prevail across the remainder of the area.

For the forecast, fresh winds will persist to the north of the 
center of the remnant low of Emilia through tonight before 
diminishing on Mon. Emilia is forecast to open up into a trough 
by Mon, and move W of the area on Tue. An area of 8-9 ft seas 
will persist S of the monsoon roughly between 110W and 120W 
through late Mon. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 
moderate seas are expected. 

$$
ERA