188 
AXPZ20 KNHC 092032
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Jul 9 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 96W, moving west at 10 kt. 
Any nearby convection is discussed in the ITCZ/monsoon trough 
section below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 13N95W to 10N122W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N122W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate and 
isolated strong convection is noted E of 80W, from 07N to 14N 
between 85W and 110W, and from 06N to 10N between 110W and 140W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient is across the discussion waters, 
resulting in light to gentle breezes across the Mexican offshore
waters, with gentle to moderate winds over the Gulf of 
California waters. Seas are 4-6 ft in S swell over the Pacific 
waters and 2-4 ft over the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds will persist through 
Thu across the Mexican offshore waters. Looking ahead, a Gulf of 
Tehuantepec gap wind event may start on Fri and continue through 
the weekend with fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Gentle to moderate winds prevail south of the monsoon trough, 
with light to gentle winds north of the monsoon trough. Seas 
across the waters are in the 4-6 ft range in S swell.

For the forecast, quiescent marine conditions will prevail over 
the Central American and Equatorial waters for the next few days.
Looking ahead, a gap wind event may occur over the Papagayo 
region Fri and Sat with fresh winds and building seas.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1022 mb high pressure is centered near 34N140W. Moderate to
fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are noted over the NW waters, 
mainly N of 20N and W of 130W. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas
of 5-6 ft, are N of the ITCZ to near 15N. Light to gentle winds,
and seas of 4-5 ft, are elsewhere N of the ITCZ/monsoon trough. 
Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are S of the 
ITCZ/monsoon trough.

For the forecast, expect moderate to fresh N to NE winds and 5-7
ft seas north of the 20N and west of 125W through midweek. 
Tradewinds will be weaker than usual with gentle to moderate NE 
winds between 10N-22N through the end of the week. Looking ahead,
large N to NE swell should move south of 30N and west of 120W 
beginning on Fri. Southerly swell to 8 ft may reach north of 
equator to 05N west of 130W Fri. 

$$
AL