000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031430
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Jun 3 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is analyzed near 102W from 04N to 
16N. It is moving westward at about 5 to 10 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is within 75 nm west of
the wave axis. Environmental conditions do not appear conducive 
for significant development, and the system is expected to weaken
during the next day or so as it moves little.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 12N103W to 07N140W. 
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 
05N to 09N E of 97W, and from 06N to 12N between 100W and 140W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge extends from high pressure centered well northwest of 
the region to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure 
gradient between the area of high pressure and a trough over the 
Gulf of California is supporting moderate to fresh northwesterly
winds across the Baja California waters extending southward to 
near the Revillagigedo Islands. Light to gentle winds prevail 
over the remainder of the discussion waters. Seas are in the
7 to 9 ft range in NW swell off Baja California Norte, and 6 to 
7 ft off Baja California Sur. Elsewhere over the open waters off 
Mexico, seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range in southwest swell. Seas
of 3 ft or less are over the Gulf of California. Hazy conditions
persist off southern Mexico, including the Gulf of Tehuantepec, 
due to agricultural fires over southern Mexico and Central 
America. Visibilities may decrease at times to around 5 nm.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW to N winds will prevail 
off the Baja California waters through Tue night, then mostly 
moderate W to NW winds afterwards. Fresh NW winds are expected at
night and into the mornings offshore Cabo San Lucas during the 
forecast period. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail 
across the open waters. Seas of 6 to 9 ft in NW swell will 
continue off of Baja California Norte through this afternoon. 
Hazy conditions, dense at times, may persist off southern Mexico,
including the Gulf of Tehuantepec, due to agricultural fires 
over S Mexico and Central America. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds are found N of the monsoon trough. Gentle 
to moderate winds prevail S of the monsoon trough. Seas are in 
the 4 to 6 ft range in long-period S to SW swell. Hazy conditions
continues off the Central American coast due to agricultural 
fires in southern Mexico and Central America. Visibilities may 
decrease at times to around 5 nm or less. 

For the forecast, light to gentle winds will prevail N of the 
monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds are expected S of the 
monsoon trough for the next several days. Hazy skies from smoke 
caused by agricultural fires over Mexico and Central America may 
reduce visibilities over portions of the Central American 
offshore waters the next few days. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N. The pressure 
gradient between the area of high pressure and lower pressure 
within the monsoon trough is supporting moderate to fresh NE to 
E winds N of the monsoon trough to 20N and W of 120W. Seas with 
these winds are in the 8 to 10 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds
are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough with seas of 6 to 8 ft in 
north to northeast swell across all but the far NW waters, where
seas are in the 5 to 6 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds and 
seas of 5 to 6 ft prevail S of the monsoon trough. 

For the forecast, the fresh to strong NE to E winds over the 
western part of the area are forecast to diminish to mostly fresh
speeds this afternoon. The associated seas will slowly subside 
through Tue. Otherwise, little change is expected to the current 
conditions over much of the area the next few days. 

$$
AL