000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031518
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Wed Apr 3 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from the coast of E Panama near 09N79W 
to 06N90W. The ITCZ extends from 06N90W to 04N110W to 02S140W. 
Scattered moderate is observed from 07N-11N between 110W-135W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A NW to SE ridge extends from 30N127W to 20N123W to 12N100W. 
Fresh to strong NW winds spread from the central through S Gulf 
of California to near and south of Cabo Corrientes due to a 
tight pressure gradient between the ridge and a trough along the 
NW coast of mainland Mexico. Seas near Cabo Corrientes are 7-9
ft, 4-6 ft in the central and S Gulf of California, and 1-3 ft 
in the N Gulf of California. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or 
weaker and seas are 4-7 ft.
 
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to support fresh to 
strong NW winds funneling across the central Gulf of California 
and off Cabo Corrientes through tonight. Farther south, strong to
near-gale force winds will pulse across the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
this evening through Thu afternoon, and late Thu night through 
Fri afternoon. Looking ahead, expect fresh to strong W gap winds 
across the N Gulf of California Thu night into Fri associated 
with a cold front moving into S California and Baja California 
Norte. W to NW winds may be near gale-force north of 29N Fri 
night. Fresh to strong NW winds will filter in behind the front 
in the central and S Gulf of California for the start of the 
weekend. Large NW swell should accompany the front off Baja 
California Thu night through Sun, with fresh to strong NW-N winds
near shore from Cabo San Lazaro northward. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Mainly gentle winds prevail across the offshore waters with 3-5 
ft. Patchy smoke and haze may be limiting visibility slightly 
near the coast, mainly off El Salvador and Guatemala.

For the forecast, winds and seas should remain tranquil for the 
next several days over the Central America and equatorial Pacific
waters.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A NW to SE ridge extends from 30N127W to 20N123W to 12N100W.  
The ridging combined with lower pressures near the ITCZ is 
supporting a belt of fresh to strong trades from around 07N-20N 
and west of 110W. Combined seas in this area are 8 to 11 ft 
aided by old N swell. Mainly gentle to moderate trades prevail 
elsewhere over the open waters, except freshening winds in the NW
waters. Seas are 6 to 7 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, a cold front will push across our NW corner
later today and reach from N Baja California to 20N140W by Fri
morning. NE winds behind the front will occur tonight and
tomorrow before diminishing Fri. As the front pushes
southeastward into our waters, this will reduce the N-S pressure
gradient and diminish the extent of the fresh to strong trades,
which will continue through the weekend. A very large NW swell
will cross our N border Thu night and continue advecting
southeastward while gradually decaying through the weekend.
 
$$
Landsea