122 
AXPZ20 KNHC 020108
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Apr 1 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

An equatorial trough extends from the coast of Colombia near
06N77W to 05N84W. The ITCZ continues from 05N84W to 03N100W to
06N110W to 03N127W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate strong 
convection is noted from 00N to 06N between 119W and 136W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A surface trough extends from the northern Gulf of California to
W of Puerto Eugenia. Decaying NW swell of 8 to 11 ft is offshore
Baja California with 4 to 7 ft seas elsewhere, except 1 to 3 ft
in the Gulf of California. Moderate winds are N of 20N with
gentle to moderate winds elsewhere, except fresh near Cabo
Corrientes.

For the forecast, southward building ridging will lead to fresh 
to strong winds pulsing near Cabo Corrientes tonight through Wed.
Similar winds are forecast in the central and southern Gulf of 
California Tue night into Wed night. Fresh to strong SW winds may
develop in the northern Gulf of California Thu night into early 
Sat. Also, near gale force northerly winds may develop in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec Wed evening through Fri. Looking ahead, new 
large NW swell may impact the Baja California waters by the end 
of the week, with fresh to strong NW-N winds near shore from Cabo
San Lazaro northward.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh gap winds are flowing across the gulfs of Papagayo and 
Panama. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds prevail. Seas are 3 to 5 
ft.

For the forecast, moderate gap winds will occasionally pulse to 
fresh in the gulfs of Papagayo and Panama into Tue, then again in
Papagayo Fri night through Sat night. Otherwise, light to gentle
winds and 3 to 5 ft seas will prevail, building slightly 
offshore Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands this weekend.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Ridging dominates the waters N of the ITCZ, with a pronounced
surface trough embedded in the ITCZ between 115W and 120W.
Decaying northerly swell of 7 to 11 ft is N of 05N and W of 110W,
with 5 to 6 ft seas elsewhere. Fresh to locally strong trades are
from 12N to 18N and W of 120W with mainly moderate to fresh winds
elsewhere W of 110W. Gentle winds are E of 110W.

For the forecast, a belt of fresh to strong trades just N of the
ITCZ and W of 120W will persist through the week, diminishing
somewhat this weekend. The fresh to strong trades will support 7
to 11 ft seas. A decaying cold front or remnant trough may move 
into the NW waters by mid- week with fresh to strong winds behind
it. A set of NW swell will arrive with the boundary, building 
seas to 8 to 12 ft N of 20N and W of 130W through the end of the
week. Looking ahead, additional northerly swell may drop S of 30N
by the end of the week into the weekend, with the potential to
build seas to greater than 12 ft N of 26N and E of 130W.
 
$$
Lewitsky