680 
AXPZ20 KNHC 012048
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Mon Apr 1 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

An equatorial trough extends from the coast of Colombia near
06N77W to 05N87W. The ITCZ continues from 05N87W to 08N112W, 
then resumes from 04N119W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate 
strong convection is noted from 02N to 07N between 124W and 
134W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A surface trough extends from the central Gulf of California to
SW of Puerto Eugenia. To the NW of the trough over Pacific
waters, decaying northerly swell is inducing seas of 11 to 13 ft,
with seas of 8 to 11 ft extending S to the Revillagigedo Islands.
Marine conditions will gradually improve into Tue as the swell
continues to decay. 

Moderate NW winds NW of the trough, otherwise mainly gentle
NW winds prevail, except for offshore Cabo Corrientes where a
tight pressure gradient is leading to fresh winds. Seas offshore
mainland Mexico are 4 to 7 ft, with 2 to 4 ft seas in the Gulf 
of California.

For the forecast, southward building ridging will lead to fresh 
to strong winds pulsing near Cabo Corrientes tonight through Wed.
Similar winds are likely to develop in the central and southern 
Gulf of California Tue night into Wed night. Looking ahead, fresh
to strong SW winds may develop in the northern Gulf of 
California Thu night through Fri night. Also, near gale force 
northerly winds are possible develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
Wed night through Fri night. New large NW swell may impact the 
Baja California waters by the end of the week. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh gap winds are flowing across the Gulf of Panama. 
Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds prevail. Seas are 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, moderate gap winds will occasionally pulse to 
fresh in the gulfs of Papagayo and Panama into Tue, then again 
Fri night. Otherwise, light to gentle winds and 3 to 6 ft seas 
will prevail.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Decaying northerly swell is inducing seas of 11 to 13 ft N of 25N
and E of 125W, with seas of 8 to 11 ft extending S to the ITCZ. 

Fresh W-NW winds are N of 26N between Baja California Norte and 
127W. Fresh to locally strong trades are also near 20N W of 
130W. Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere N of the ITCZ. 
Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere. Aside from the area
of aforementioned decaying swell, seas are 7 to 10 ft N of the 
ITCZ and W of 125W, and 5 to 7 ft S of the ITCZ.

For the forecast, trades will gradually increase early this 
week to fresh to strong as high pressure north of the area 
builds. The aforementioned northerly swells will support seas of 
7 to 10 ft across the majority of the waters N of the ITCZ early 
this week, then become focused across the fresh to strong trades 
by mid- week. Looking ahead, another cold front is likely to drop
S of 30N Thu night, potentially bringing another set of 
significant northerly swell.
 
$$
Konarik