000 AXPZ20 KNHC 250436 AAA TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion...Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Mar 25 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0330 UTC. Updated REMAINDER OF THE AREA section ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... An equatorial trough extends westward from the coastal border of Panama and Colombia to 08N110W, then turns southwestward to 01S132W. An ITCZ continues from 01S132W to beyond 01S140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the trough from 02N to 08N between 89W and 107W, and from 03N to 06N between 118W and 123W. No significant convection is seen near the ITCZ. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A low to mid-level trough is triggering widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the northern Gulf of California. A 1030 mb, large dome of high pressure is channeling fresh to strong NW winds west of Baja California Norte, and moderate to fresh NW to N winds west of Baja California Sur, and south of Cabo San Lucas. Large NW swell is producing 10 to 14 ft seas near Baja California Norte, and 7 to 9 ft seas near Baja California Sur. Westerly gap winds at strong to near-gale force are present at the northern Gulf of California, while fresh to strong are noted at the central Gulf of California. Seas are at 3 to 6 ft for both the northern and central Gulf of California. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh W to NW winds and seas at 4 to 7 ft prevail for the rest of the central and southern Mexico offshore waters. For the forecast, a large dome of high pressure over the eastern Pacific will continue to channel fresh to strong NW winds across the waters west of Baja California, and near Cabo San Lucas through Mon morning. These winds will sustain strong to near- gale force gap winds at the Gulf of California until late Mon morning. In addition, large NW swell is going to produce very rough to high seas off Baja California Norte, and rough to very rough seas off Baja California Sur through early Tue morning. Farther south, fresh to strong winds are expected at the western Gulf of Tehuantepec through Tue morning, and near Cabo Corrientes from late Tue afternoon through Wed night. In the long term, a gap wind event is forecast to begin at the Gulf of Tehuantepec on Thu and might reach gale force. ...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Modest convergent southerly winds are generating scattered moderate convection south of the Galapagos Islands. Otherwise, light to gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail across the offshore waters of Latin America, Ecuador and Colombia. For the forecast, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail through Thu night. Starting Fri, gap winds near the Papagayo region and Gulf of Panama will steadily increase. ...REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge extends southeastward from a 1030 mb high pressure near 31N136W to near the Revillagigedo Islands. This feature is channeling fresh to strong winds along with 10 to 12 ft seas in large NW swell north of 25N between 120W and 127W. For the remaining area north of 20N between 120W/115W and 140W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas at 7 to 9 ft in moderate NW to N swell exist. Tight pressure gradient between the high and ITCZ is supporting fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft from 10N to 20N west of 120W. Moderate with locally fresh NNE to ENE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are noted elsewhere west of 110W and north of the ITCZ/equatorial trough. Gentle with locally moderate southerly winds and 4 to 6 ft seas prevail for the remainder of the Pacific waters. For the forecast, the high pressure will begin to weaken Mon morning, allowing winds north of 25N between 120W and 127W to decrease through Mon afternoon. For the same reason, winds from 10N to 20N west of 120W are expected to gradually subside Mon evening through Tue morning. As the NW to N swell start to decay Mon evening, seas north of 10N and west of 120w should slowly subside Mon night through Wed. $$ Chan