000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142056
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Mar 14 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 06N98W. The ITCZ 
continues from 06N98W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate convection 
is noted from 05N to 10N between 95W and 117W.
 
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong NW winds have developed across the northern Gulf
of California N of 30N, with seas to 5 ft. Fresh NW winds 
prevail along the west coast of Baja California N of 27N due to 
the pressure gradient between high pressure over the Pacific and 
a 1008 mb low pressure center near 32N118W. Seas are 10 to 13 ft 
in this area, while 8 to 10 ft seas prevail across the coastal 
waters N of 18N. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate variable winds 
and moderate seas in mixed long period northwesterly swell are 
over the remainder of the area.

For the forecast, fresh winds along with the 10 to 13 ft combined
seas will prevail through Fri offshore western Baja California  
as high pressure lifts north and the area of weak low pressure 
sinks south. Fresh to strong N winds funneling down the lower 
Colorado River Valley into the northern Gulf of California will
continue through tonight. Elsewhere, seas across the area will 
subside to less than 8 ft by Sat. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

High pressure building N of the western Caribbean supports fresh
to strong NE winds are present within the Gulf of Papagayo 
region. Seas in this area are 5 to 7 ft. This pattern also 
supports pulsing fresh NE winds in the Gulf of Panama, where seas
are 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle variable winds and 
moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the region.

For the forecast, high pressure will continue to support pulses
of fresh to strong northeast to east winds in the Papagayo 
region through Sat. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will
continue elsewhere through the forecast period. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient in the area supports fresh NE winds from 
04N to 20N W of 120W. Combined seas are 8 to 9 ft. N of 20N, 
moderate winds and 8 to 11 ft seas in NW swell prevail. Gentle 
to moderate winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

Looking ahead, fresh trade winds will begin to diminish 
through tonight as pressure gradient weakens. Seas of 8 to 11 ft
will subside Fri. Another set of long period northwest swell in 
association with a cold front will enter waters N of 25N W of 
135W beginning Fri morning and propagate southeast through the 
weekend.

$$
ERA