000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140402
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Mar 14 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 07N78W to 04N85W to 05N97W. The ITCZ 
continues from 05N97W to 04N120W to 05N140W. Isolated moderate 
convection is noted from 05N to 08N between 95W and 105W.
 
...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to locally strong NW winds are funneling along the west 
coast of Baja California north of Cabo San Lazaro due to the 
pressure gradient between high pressure over the Pacific and 
lower pressures over western Mexico. Seas are 7 to 10 ft in the 
area of these winds. North of 30N, seas are building 10 to 12 
ft. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate mostly variable winds and 
moderate seas in mixed long- period southerly and northwesterly 
swell are over the remainder of the area.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong winds diminish 
offshore western Baja California through this morning. Strong
high pressure over the Great Basin north of the area will support
strong N winds funneling down the lower Colorado River Valley
into the northern Gulf of California through Thu. Elsewhere, 
long period northwest swell will subside through Thu north of the
Revillagigedo Islands. A second set of 12 to 13 ft long period 
NW swell will impact the offshore waters north of 27N tonight 
into Thu night before it begins to subside. Conditions will 
improve through the end of the week, and seas will subside to 
less than 8 ft by Sat. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

High pressure building north of the western Caribbean 
supports fresh to strong NE winds are present within the Gulf of
Papagayo region. Seas in this area are 5 to 8 ft. This pattern
also supports pulsing fresh to strong NE winds in the Gulf of 
Panama, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle 
variable winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of 
the region.

For the forecast, high pressure will continue to support pulses
of fresh to strong northeast to east winds in the Papagayo 
region through Sat night. Light to gentle winds and moderate 
seas will continue elsewhere through the forecast period. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient from a 1031 mb high pressure located near 
40N133W and relatively lower pressures in the deep tropics
supports fresh NE to E winds from 05N to 20N west of 125W. 
Combined seas are 8 to 10 ft. North of 20N, moderate winds and 8
to 10 ft seas in NW swell prevail. Gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas are elsewhere.

Looking ahead, fresh trade winds will continue through Thu
morning. Seas will remain 8 to 10 ft with these winds before  
subsiding Fri. Another set of long- period northwest swell in 
association with a cold front will enter the far northwest waters
beginning Fri morning and propagate southeast through the 
weekend.

$$
Mora