000
AXPZ20 KNHC 072158
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Mar 7 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N81W to 06N87W. The ITCZ 
continues from 06N87W to 04N110W to 01N130W to 04N140W. No
significant convection is noted at this time.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The cold front stretching from Baja California Norte to offshore
of Punta Eugenia has dissipated, however, fresh to strong SW to 
W gap winds continue over portions of the northern Gulf of 
California, with seas up to 4 ft. Fresh winds and rough seas
prevail behind the boundary north of 25N. Moderate to fresh winds
are also west of Baja California Sur, extending as far south as
20N, where seas are 6 to 7 ft. Otherwise, mainly gentle to 
moderate winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail.

For the forecast, fresh winds that were behind the front will 
diminish by tonight, while 8 to 11 ft seas will continue building
as far S as Cabo San Lazaro through Fri night. These seas will 
subside by early Sat. Looking ahead, high pressure building 
south through the western Gulf of Mexico will likely develop 
gale force gap winds in the Gulf of Tehunatepec Sun through Sun 
night, accompanied by rough seas. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the 
region.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will persist across the 
region through the weekend, with late night or early morning 
pulses of locally fresh winds in the Papagayo region. High 
pressure building toward the western Caribbean may lead to strong
gap winds in the Papagayo region by Mon. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Behind the remnants of a cold front, fresh NW winds support
combined seas of 8 to 12 ft north of 25N and as far west of 
130W. Elsewhere, high pressure building in behind the front 
remains the dominate weather feature over the area. The pressure 
gradient between this ridge and the ITCZ is leading to fresh to 
locally strong trades N of the ITCZ to about 20N west of 125W. 
Seas in the region are 8 to 10 ft and up to 11 ft in the areas of
higher trades from 08N to 15N and west of 135W. Gentle to 
moderate winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, the fresh winds and rough seas N of 25N will 
gradually subside through Fri. Farther south, fresh to strong 
trade winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to 11 ft combined 
seas from 00N to 20N west of 125W through the weekend. Looking 
ahead, northwesterly swell is forecast to bring rough to very 
rough seas this weekend. Seas of 12 ft are possible north of 28N
west of 130W during late Sat through Sun. Long period swell will
continue to spread across the forecast area north of 10N through
the beginning of next week. 

$$
Mora