000
AXPZ20 KNHC 062200
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Mar 6 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N85W. The ITCZ 
continues from 05N85W to 04N100W to 02N120W. No significant 
convection is noted at this time.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Winds and seas continue to subside this morning off the west
coast of Baja California due to the weakening high pressure area
offshore. Gentle to moderate NW winds and NW swell of 6 to 8 ft 
are over these waters. Gentle to moderate winds and seas persist
elsewhere.

For the forecast, a cold front will approach tonight then 
dissipate as it moves across Baja California Fri. This will 
support a pulse of fresh to strong W gap winds across portions of
the northern Gulf of California Thur. Large NW swell will move 
into the waters off Baja California Norte Thu, and reach as far 
south as Cabo San Lazaro Fri night before beginning to subside.
Moderate winds and seas will persist elsewhere. Looking ahead,
a gale force gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec is
possible Sun through Sun night with rough seas. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the 
region.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will persist across 
the remainder of the region through the week, with a possibility 
of late night or early morning pulses of locally fresh winds in 
the Papagayo region.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front extends from 30N121W to 25N130W. Behind the front, 
moderate to fresh NW winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft area occurring.

Elsewhere, high pressure remains the dominate weather feature 
over the area. A recent scatterometer pass confirmed fresh to 
locally strong NE trade wind from 05N to 20N west of 125W. Long- 
period NW to N swell in combination with wind waves from the 
fresh to strong trade winds supports an area of 8 to 12 ft seas 
from 00N to 20N and west of 110W. Seas to 8 ft in mixed northerly
and southerly swell are also south of 00N and west of 110W. 
Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, the cold front will reach the coast of Baja 
California this evening bringing moderate to fresh NW 
winds and rough seas. The front will gradually sink south to Los
Cabos, then dissipate. Farther south, fresh to strong trade 
winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to 12 ft combined seas 
from 00N to 25N west of 120W into at least Fri. Looking ahead,
northwesterly swell could bring rough to very rough seas Sat
through Sun. Seas of 12 to 13 ft are possible north of 28N west
of 130W during this time period.



$$
Mora