923 
AXPZ20 KNHC 060207
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Mar 6 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 03N90W. The ITCZ 
continues from 03N90W to 04N110W to 03N130W and from 02N133W to 
02N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 04N to 10N and 
between 130W and 136W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Long-period NW to N swell with a period of 12 to 14 seconds 
covers offshore waters W of Baja California and south of 30N, 
producing seas of 8 to 9 ft. High pressure west of the region 
supports moderate to locally fresh NW winds over these waters. 
Gentle to moderate winds and seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, long period northwest swell will continue to 
produce seas of up to 9 ft today offshore Baja California to the 
Revillagigedo Islands, but will gradually fall below 8 ft through
early Wed morning. A cold front will approach Baja California 
Norte Wed into Thu morning. This pattern will support fresh to 
strong westerly gap winds over the northern Gulf of California 
Wed night into Thu. Looking ahead, large NW swell will move into 
the waters off Baja California Norte Thu, and reach as far south 
as Cabo San Lazaro Fri night before subsiding.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the 
region.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo will pulse during the morning hours through Thu. Gentle 
to moderate winds will persist across the remainder of the region
through the week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front extends from 30N129W to 25N140W. Behind the front, 
fresh NW winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft area occurring. 

Elsewhere, long- period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-15 seconds continues to cover the waters from 00N to 25N and 
west of 110W. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are over these waters. High 
pressure remains the dominate weather feature over the area. 
Fresh to locally strong NE trade winds are noted from around 05N
to 15N west of 120W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas 
persist elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the cold front will pass areas N of 25N 
tonight through Wed, bringing fresh NW winds and rough seas. The
front will reach the coast of Baja California by late Wed night 
or early Thu morning, delivering 8 to 11 ft combined seas across 
the waters north of 25N. Farther south, fresh to strong trade 
winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to 11 ft combined seas 
from 05N to 15N west of 120W through Thu. Winds and seas will 
continue to gradually subside west of 130W into the weekend.

$$
Konarik