171 
AXPZ20 KNHC 052222
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Tue Mar 5 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 03N90W. The ITCZ 
continues from 03N90W to 04N110W to 03N130W and from 02N133W to 
02N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N and 
between 128W and 133W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Long-period NW to N swell with a period of 12 to 14 seconds 
covers offshore waters W of Baja California and south of 30N, 
producing seas of 8 to 9 ft. High pressure west of the region 
supports moderate to locally fresh NW winds over these waters,
revealed in a recent scatterometer pass. Gentle to moderate 
winds and seas persist elsewhere.

For the forecast, long- period northwest swell will continue to 
produce seas of up to 9 ft today offshore Baja California to the
Revillagigedo Islands, but will gradually fall below 8 ft 
through early tomorrow morning. A cold front will approach Baja 
California Norte Wed night into Thu morning. This pattern will 
support fresh to strong westerly gap winds over the northern Gulf
of California late Wed into Thu. Looking ahead, large NW swell 
will move into the waters off Baja California Norte Thu, and 
reach as far south as Cabo San Lazaro Fri night before subsiding.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the 
region this afternoon.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo will pulse during the morning hours through Thur. Gentle
to moderate winds will persist across the remainder of the 
region through the week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front has entered the NW waters, extending from 30N133W to
27N140W. A recent scatterometer pass noted fresh to locally
strong NW winds, where seas are 8 ft, following the front. 
Elsewhere, long- period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-15 seconds continues to cover the waters from 00N to 25N and 
west of 110W. Seas of 8 to 13 ft are over these waters. High 
pressure remains the dominate weather feature over the area. 
Fresh to strong NE trade winds are noted from around 05N to 15N 
west of 120W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas persist 
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the cold front will pass areas N of 25N 
tonight into Wed, bringing fresh NW winds and rough seas. The 
front will reach the coast of Baja California by late Wed night 
or early Thu morning, delivering 8 to 11 ft combined seas across
the waters north of 25N. Farther south, fresh to strong trade 
winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to 11 ft combined seas  
from 05N to 15N west of 120W through Thur. Winds and seas will 
continue to subside west of 130W through the weekend.

$$
Mora