131 
AXPZ20 KNHC 051619
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Tue Mar 5 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 03N90W. The ITCZ 
continues from 03N90W to 03N105W to 02N125W and from 02N132W to 
03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 01N to 08N and
between 125W and 135W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Long-period NW to N swell with a period of 12 to 14 seconds 
covers offshore waters W of Baja California, producing seas of 8 
to 9 ft. Fresh NW winds are occurring along the Baja California  
coast north of Cabo San Lazaro. These winds are funneling 
between high pressure west of the region and the mountainous 
coast. Gentle to moderate winds and seas persist elsewhere. 

For the forecast, long- period northwest swell will continue to 
produce seas of up to 9 ft today offshore Baja California to the
Revillagigedo Islands, but will gradually fall below 8 ft 
through Wed. A cold front will approach Baja California Norte Wed
night into Thu morning then dissipate. This pattern will support
fresh to strong westerly gap winds over the northern Gulf of 
California late Wed into Thu. Looking ahead, large NW swell will 
move into the waters off Baja California Norte Thu, and reach as 
far south as Cabo San Lazaro Fri night before subsiding. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate to fresh winds are noted within the Gulf of 
Papagayo. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and moderate seas 
persist across the region.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo will pulse during the morning hours through Thur. 
Gentle to moderate winds will persist across the region through 
the week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

An area of long-period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-15 seconds covers the waters from 00N to 25N and west of 
110W. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are over these waters. High pressure 
remains the dominate weather feature over the area. Fresh NE 
trade winds are noted from around 05N to 20N west of 115W. 
Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere. 

For the forecast, a cold front will enter NW waters today and 
pass areas N of 25N tonight into Wed, bringing fresh NW winds 
and rough seas. The front will reach the coast of Baja California
by late Wed night or early Thu morning, delivering 8 to 10 ft 
combined seas across the waters north of 25N. Farther south, 
fresh to strong trade winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to
11 ft combined seas through mid week from 05N to 20N west of 
120W. 

$$
Mora