000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050811
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue Mar 5 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N100W. The ITCZ
continues from 05N100W to 02N125W and from 03N135W to 03N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection has developed from 01N to 06N
between 135W and 140W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Long-period NW to N swell with a period of 12 to 16 seconds
covers offshore waters W of Baja California, producing seas of 8
to 10 ft. Fresh to locally strong NW winds are occurring along 
the Baja California Norte coast near and just N of Punta Eugenia.
These winds are funneling between high pressure west of the 
region and the mountainous coast. Gentle to moderate winds and 
seas persist elsewhere, except for slight seas over the Gulf of 
California. 

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient across the offshore 
waters west of Baja California is supporting fresh NW winds north
of Cabo San Lazaro, funneling to strong near the coast. Long- 
period northwest swell will continue to produce seas of up to 10 
ft today offshore Baja California to the Revillagigedo Islands, 
but will gradually fall below 8 ft through Wed. A cold front will
approach Baja California Norte Wed night into Thu morning then 
dissipate. This pattern will support fresh to strong westerly gap
winds over the northern Gulf of California late Wed into Thu. 
Looking ahead, large NW swell will move into the waters off Baja 
California Norte Thu, and reach as far south as Cabo San Lazaro 
Fri night before subsiding. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the region.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will persist across the
region through Wed night. Expect moderate to fresh winds across 
the Gulf of Papagayo by Thu as high pressure builds north of the 
area. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

An area of long-period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-16 seconds covers the waters north of 10N and west of 125W. 
Seas of 8 to 11 ft are over these waters. High pressure remains 
the dominate weather feature over the area, north of 10N and west
of 100W. Fresh NE trade winds are noted from around 05N to 10N 
between 130W and 140W. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate 
seas persist elsewhere. 

For the forecast, a cold front will enter NW waters today and 
pass areas N of 25N tonight into Wed, bringing fresh NW winds 
and rough seas. The front will reach the coast of Baja California
by late Wed night or early Thu morning, delivering 8 to 10 ft 
combined seas across the waters north of 25N. Farther south, 
fresh to strong trade winds and residual swell will maintain 8 to
11 ft combined seas through mid week from 05N to 20N west of 
120W. 

$$
Konarik