000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050240
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Mar 5 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N100W. The ITCZ
continues from 05N100W to 02N122W to 03N128W and from 03N137W to
beyond 03N140W. No significant convection is associated with
these features at this time. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

An area of long-period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-16 seconds covers the waters north of 05N and west of 120W. 
Seas of 9 to 11 ft are over these waters. The swell will 
gradually subside into Tue. Seas of 8-10 ft are currently 
impacting the waters west of Baja California as far south as the 
Revillagigedo Islands. 

Fresh to locally strong NW winds are occurring along the Baja
California Norte coast near and just N of Punta Eugenia. 
These winds are funneling between high pressure west of the 
region and the mountainous coast. Gentle to moderate winds and 
seas persist elsewhere, except for slight seas over the Gulf of 
California. 

For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient across the offshore 
waters west of Baja California is supporting fresh NW winds north
of Cabo San Lazaro, funneling to strong near the coast. Long- 
period northwest swell will continue to produce seas of up to 11 
ft tonight offshore Baja California to the Revillagigedo Islands,
but will gradually fall below 8 ft by midweek. A cold front will
approach Baja California Norte Wed night into Thu morning then 
dissipate. This pattern will support fresh to strong westerly gap
winds over the northern Gulf of California late Wed into Thu. 
Looking ahead, large NW swell will move into the waters off Baja 
California Norte Thu, and reach as far south as Cabo San Lazaro 
Fri night before subsiding. 


...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle winds and moderate seas persist across the region.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will persist across 
the region through mid week. Expect moderate to fresh winds 
across the Gulf of Papagayo by Thu as high pressure builds north 
of the area. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

An area of long-period northwest to north swell with a period of
12-16 seconds covers the waters north of 05N and west of 120W. 
Seas of 9 to 11 ft are over these waters. The swell will 
gradually subside into Tue.

High pressure remains the dominate weather feature over the 
area, north of 10N and west of 100W. Fresh to locally strong NE
trade winds are noted from around 05N to 10N between 130W and
140W. Seas associated with these winds are combining with the 
northerly swell to produced wave heights of 9 to 11 ft across 
this region. Combined seas in excess of 8 ft extend over most of 
the discussion area west of 110W, primarily in northerly swell. 
Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas persist elsewhere. 

For the forecast, a cold front will enter NW waters Tue, and
encompass areas N of 25N Tue night into Wed, bringing fresh NW 
winds and rough seas. The front will reach the coast of Baja 
California by late Wed night or early Thu morning, delivering 8 
to 10 ft combined seas across the waters north of 25N. Farther 
south, fresh to strong trade winds and residual swell will 
maintain 8 to 11 ft combined seas through mid week from 05N to 
20N west of 120W. 

$$
Konarik