000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020846
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Mar 2 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ extends from 04N92W to 04N140W. A second ITCZ is south 
of the Equator, extending from 03S86W to 03S122W. Scattered 
moderate convection is S of 06N between 110W and 130W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A surface ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja 
California producing gentle to moderate NW to N winds with seas 
of 4 to 6 ft. Gentle southerly winds prevail in the northern 
part of the Gulf of California, with seas generally near 1 to 2 
ft. Light and variable winds prevail across the remainder of the
Gulf. Seas in the 3 to 4 ft range are noted near the entrance to
the Gulf, and between Los Cabos and Las Marias Islands. Over the
remainder of the Mexican offshore waters, moderate or weaker 
winds and slight to moderate seas are observed.

For the forecast, strong high pressure will prevail across the
area. Fresh to strong NW winds will develop W of the Baja 
California peninsula beginning on Sun. NW swell will build seas 
to 12 ft W of Baja California Norte on Sun. This swell event 
will propagate across the entire Baja California offshore waters 
by Sun night. At this time, seas of 8 to 11 ft are expected.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

High pressure over the western Atlantic is maintaining fresh to 
strong northeast to east winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region. 
Seas over these waters are 5 to 7 ft. Moderate N winds are in 
the Gulf of Panama, extending southward to near 04N, along with 
seas of 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas continue.

For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will continue
to support pulsing fresh to strong NE to E winds in the Papagayo
region tonight, with seas building to 6 to 7 ft. In the Gulf of 
Panama, gentle to moderate N winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft will 
prevail over the next several days. Elsewhere, light to gentle 
winds are expected with seas of 4 to 6 ft through the weekend, 
then subsiding to 2 to 4 ft toward the middle of next week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge dominates most of the forecast waters N of 10N 
and W of 105W. NW swell is entering the area from the NW, with 
building seas to 8 to 13 ft N of 22N and W of 120W. Fresh trade 
winds and seas to 9 ft are affecting the area from 05N to 16N W 
of 115W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present 
over the remainder of the basin.

For the forecast, strong high pressure will continue to build 
across the area. The large set of northwest swell will continue 
to spread across the area through the weekend, with the leading 
edge of 8 ft and greater seas expected to reach the waters NW of 
a line from 30N118W to 22N130W to 18N140W by this afternoon. 
This swell is forecast to spread across most of the waters N of 
05N and W of 115W by Sun night with seas subsiding below 12 ft. 

$$
ERA