000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240200
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sun Dec 24 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0200 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N83W to 05N95W. The ITCZ 
extends from 04N97W to 06N135W. A surface trough extends from 
09N137W to 04N139W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 
01N to 06N E of 84W and from 05N to 11N between 108W and 131W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... 

Moderate NW winds are occurring over central Gulf of California.
Moderate to locally fresh N winds prevail across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec. Gentle to moderate NW winds dominate waters W of
Baja California. For the remainder of the area, a weak pressure
gradient is leading to light to gentle winds. Seas average 3 to 
6 ft, except 5 to 7 ft offshore Baja California in NW swell. Seas
in the Gulf of California are 2-3 ft. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh gap winds will prevail 
across the Tehuantepec region tonight. Elsewhere, winds across 
the area will be moderate or weaker through Sun. High pressure 
building over the U.S. Great Basin should funnel fresh to locally
strong NW winds over the Gulf of California Mon through Tue 
night. NW swell will propagate across the waters W of Baja 
California into Sun, before diminishing. The next set of large NW
swell will begin to move into the Baja California Norte waters 
Mon night. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A significant pressure gradient in the area continues to support
fresh to strong NE winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region, where
seas are 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with
seas of 3 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will prevail over the
Gulf of Papagayo region into tonight. Fresh N winds will pulse 
tonight and Sun night in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, winds are
expected to be moderate or weaker into the middle of next week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Decaying NW swell with seas of 8 to 9 ft are continuing to 
impact the waters north of 07N and west of 125W. Winds in this 
area are generally moderate to fresh and NE. Elsewhere, the 
trades are moderate or weaker with seas 5-7 ft.

For the forecast, the NE trades will weaken to moderate across 
the waters by Sun. A new set of significant NW swell will arrive
in the NW waters Sun, with seas Sun night into Mon night 
exceeding 12 ft as the swell propagates SE into the middle of
next week.

$$
Konarik