000
AXPZ20 KNHC 230159
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Dec 23 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 06N77W to 05N90W. The ITCZ 
extends from 05N90W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate and 
isolated strong convection is noted from 04N-10N and W of 126W. 
Scattered moderate convection prevails from 03N-11N between 
between 94W-108W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... 

A cold front extends from 31N113W to 21N121W. Moderate to fresh 
W to NW winds are occurring. Near gale-force NE winds prevail 
across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, with seas to 10 ft. Otherwise, a
weak pressure gradient prevails across the area with moderate or
less winds occurring. Seas are 3-6 ft in the area, except for 
waters west of Baja California Norte where seas are 8-10 ft in NW
swell. Seas in the Gulf of California are 2-3 ft. 

For the forecast, the cold front will continue to move E through
waters W of Baja California as well as most of the Gulf of 
California into Sat before gradually dissipating Sat night. Near 
gale- force winds will prevail across the Tehuantepec region 
through early Sat, with seas to 10 ft. Elsewhere, winds across 
the area will be moderate or weaker. High pressure building over 
the U.S. Great Basin should funnel fresh to locally strong NW 
winds over the Gulf of California Mon through Tue night. NW swell
will propagate southeastward across the waters west of Baja 
California through tonight before diminishing Sat. The next set 
of large NW swell will move into the Baja California Norte waters
Sun through Mon. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A significant pressure gradient in the area continues to support
fresh to strong NE winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region. Seas 
are 6 to 8 ft within this area. Fresh N winds are also occurring
over the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or 
weaker. NW swell with seas to 8 ft in the Guatemala offshore 
waters are being generated by Gulf of Tehuantepec gap winds.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will prevail over the
Gulf of Papagayo region into Sat night. Fresh N winds will 
continue pulse over the Gulf of Panama through the weekend. 
Elsewhere, winds are expected to be moderate or weaker for the 
next several days. NW swell generated by strong gap winds in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec will continue to impact the Guatemala-El 
Salvador offshore waters into Sat. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

NW swell with seas of 8 to 10 ft are continuing to impact the 
waters north of 08N and west of 119W. These seas will gradually 
diminish into Sat night, but remain above 8 ft through Sun. Winds
in this area are generally moderate to fresh and NE. Elsewhere, 
the trades are moderate or weaker with seas 5-7 ft.

For the forecast, the NE trades will weaken to moderate across 
the waters Sat. A new set of significant NW swell will arrive in
the NW waters Sun, with seas Sun night and Mon exceeding 12 ft as
the swell propagates SE into early next week. 

$$ 
Konarik