000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240243
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Nov 24 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Tropical Depression Twenty-E is centered near 12.6N 122.4W at
24/0300 UTC, moving west-northwest at 8 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30
kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas within these winds are assumed
to be around 10 ft in NW swell. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 90 nm se semicircle. A slow northwestward to 
northward motion is expected during the next few days. Little or
no strengthening is likely during the next 12 to 24 hours, with
the possibility of an increase in deep convection and perhaps a 
little strengthening through Sunday before weakening. Please 
read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National 
Hurricane Center at website 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml and the latest 
Twenty-E NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at 
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 08N91W to 12.5N114W. 
The ITCZ begins from near 10N127W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11N between 125W and
140W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-7 ft are found over the Gulf
of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between high 
pressure west of the Baja California peninsula and low pressure 
across NW Mexico is supporting moderate to locally fresh winds 
across the outer waters off Baja California Norte, where seas 
are 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Gentle to moderate winds are noted 
elsewhere west of the Baja California peninsula, with light to 
gentle winds over the remainder of the open waters off SW Mexico.
Seas are in the 4-6 ft range in NW swell. Gentle to moderate
winds, and seas of 2-4 ft are noted inside the Gulf of 
California.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will prevail near the 
coast in the Gulf of Tehuantepec through Sat. NW swell will move
into the far offshore waters off Baja California Norte tonight, 
reaching Guadalupe Island by late Fri, the waters off Cabo San 
Lazaro early Sun, and the Revillagigedo Islands by early Mon. 
Broad low pressure N of the region will induce moderate to fresh 
SW to W gap winds across the northern and central Gulf of 
California tonight through early Sat. A weak cold front will 
approach the offshore waters of Baja California Norte on Sun. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate to locally fresh offshore gap winds are over and 
downwind the Gulf of Papagayo. Light winds are elsewhere N of 
the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate winds are found between 
Colombia and the Galapagos Islands, with light to gentle winds 
elsewhere S of the monsoon trough. Seas of 6-7 ft are well 
offshore Guatemala, with seas of 4-6 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will pulse at night 
across and well downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo region through
the period. Gentle to moderate winds are expected S of the 
monsoon trough through Sun when winds will diminish to light to 
gentle speeds. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please see above for more information on Tropical Depression 
Twenty-E.

Elsewhere, high pressure across the NE Pacific is centered to the
north of 40N, producing a modest pressure gradient across the
regional waters. Gentle to moderate winds are noted north of the
ITCZ and west of 120W, with seas of 6-9 ft. Gentle to locally 
moderate winds, and 4 to 6 ft seas, are noted south of the 
monsoon trough.

For the forecast, the swell impacting the western portions of the 
area will diminish tonight. New NW swell will enter the northern
waters late tonight and gradually increase seas through the 
weekend. This swell will spread across the western waters, with 
seas greater than 8 ft covering much of the waters west of 120W 
by the end of the weekend into early next week. Winds and seas 
associated with T.D. Twenty-E are expected to cover a relatively 
small and localized area.

$$
AL