000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240110
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Jul 24 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0020 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVE...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 91W/92W from western 
Guatemala southward to 02N, moving west at around 20 kt. Nearby 
convection is described below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 106W, from 01N to around Cabo
Corrientes, Mexico, moving west at around 10 to 15 kt. The 
tropical wave is directly under an upper low, which is supporting
scattered moderate convection as is described below.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 119W/120W, from 02N
to 18N moving west at around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is 
described below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N75W to 08N109W. The ITCZ 
continues from 08N109W to 12N129W to 10N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is evident from 06N to 10.5N 
between 77W and 86.5W, from 03N to 10.5N between 93W and 106W, 
and from 02N to 13N between 109W and 133W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Mainly Gentle to locally moderate winds prevail across the
offshore waters of Mexico, locally fresh near and just S of Punta
Eugenia in Baja California. Seas of 3-5 ft prevail in S-SW swell,
except NW swell offshore Baja California. Seas are 1-3 ft in the
Gulf of California. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring near
Cabo Corrientes, with additional activity in the Tehuantepec
region.

For the forecast, expect moderate to fresh gap winds across the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec during the overnight hours through Mon, then 
fresh to strong thereafter. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate
seas will persist elsewhere, except for locally gusty winds near
clusters of showers and thunderstorms in portions of the Gulf of
California during overnight hours.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Showers and thunderstorms are active off the coasts of Panama and 
Costa Rica, as well as Guatemala. Fresh to locally strong NE-E 
gap winds persist across the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate N winds
are in the Gulf of Panama. Moderate southerly winds are S of 
03N, with seas of 4-6 ft in S-SW swell. Elsewhere, mainly light 
to gentle breezes and 3-4 ft seas are evident.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse across 
the Gulf of Papagayo each night through the week, with moderate 
to rough seas. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate 
seas will persist elsewhere, except for locally gusty winds near 
clusters of showers and thunderstorms from Colombia to Costa 
Rica. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Weak high pressure ridging dominates the basin N of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ, except for a surface trough along 134W/135W N of
the ITCZ which is the remnants of T.D. Four-E. Locally fresh
winds are found NW of this trough. Gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

For the forecast, the remnant trough of Four-E will gradually
dissipate as it continues to move westward overnight. Elsewhere,
moderate to occasionally fresh winds can be expected from 09N to
15N and W of 127W Mon through the middle of the week, with seas
building to around 8 ft in the W-central waters early Wed. Gentle
to moderate winds are forecast thereafter and elsewhere. 
Moderate seas will prevail, building to around 8 ft S of the 
Equator and W of 95W late Mon through Wed.

$$
Lewitsky