000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081550
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon May 8 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1545 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 06N91W. The ITCZ
continues from 06N91W to beyond 02N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 04N to 07N between 87W and 96W, from
01N to 04N between 105W and 110W, and from 04N to 07N between
114W and 122W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh N to NW winds are noted west of the Baja 
Peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north of 
17N with light to gentle winds south of 17N. Seas are in the 5-7 
ft range over the open waters north of Cabo Corrientes, and 5-6 
ft over the waters south of Cabo Corrientes. Seas are 1-2 ft in 
the northern Gulf of California, and 2-4 ft in the southern Gulf 
of California.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW to N winds will prevail 
along the Baja offshore waters through the middle of the week, 
briefly increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night N of Punta 
Eugenia tonight through Tue. Gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through Wed. Reduced 
visibilities in haze are possible in the S and SW Mexican 
offshore waters due to smoke produced by agricultural fires. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong easterly gap winds are noted in the Gulf of 
Papagayo region, with seas to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh northerly 
winds are noted in the Gulf of Panama, with seas to 6 ft. 
Moderate southerly winds are noted south of the Galapagos 
Islands, with light to gentle winds elsewhere. Outside of the 
Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama, seas are generally in the 
4-6 ft range, in a southerly swell.

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse at night 
over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Tue morning. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds are expected across the Gulf of Panama 
today. Gentle to moderate breezes will prevail elsewhere into 
mid week. A large SW swell will reach the Galapagos waters
through mid week. Reduced visibility in haze will be possible 
from Guatemala to Nicaragua due to smoke produced by agricultural
fires. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are noted from 05N to 22N and 
west of 115W. Gentle to moderate E winds are noted from 08N to 
11N between 95W and 112W. Light to gentle winds prevail 
elsewhere. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range from 03N to 15N and west 
of 118W. Large SW swell is supporting seas of 8 to 10 ft S of 03N
between 103W and 131W. Seas in the 5-7 ft range prevail 
elsewhere. 

For the forecast, NE swell will combine with southerly swell to 
continue producing seas of 8 to 9 ft between 05N and 15N west of
110W for the next several days. Moderate to fresh winds will
prevail across the tradewind belt S of 20N. The large SW swell 
will continue building the seas to 10 ft near and S of the 
Equator through Tue night.

$$
Flynn