000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080841
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon May 8 2023

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 10N85W to 06N89W. The 
ITCZ continues from 06N89W to 07N108W, then resumes W of 2 
troughs near 03N124W to 03N140W. The troughs extend along 112W 
and 122W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 08N
and E of 88W, and from 02N to 15N between 103W and 127W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh winds are noted west of Baja California Norte.
Gentle to moderate winds prevails elsewhere west of Baja 
California Sur southward to off Cabo Corrientes...including the
entrance to the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are 
noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the open 
waters north of Cabo Corrientes, and 5-6 ft over the waters south
of Cabo Corrientes. Seas over the Gulf of California are in the 
1-2 ft range. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW to N winds will prevail 
along the Baja offshore waters through the middle of the week, 
briefly increasing to fresh to strong speeds at night N of Punta 
Eugenia tonight through Tue. Gentle to moderate winds and 
moderate seas will prevail elsewhere through Wed. Reduced 
visibilities in haze are possible in the S and SW Mexican 
offshore waters due to smoke produced by agricultural fires. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong winds are over the Gulf of Papagayo region with 
seas to 9 ft. Moderate to fresh winds are over and downstream of
the Gulf of Panama with seas to 6 ft. Light to gentle winds 
prevail elsewhere, except to moderate speeds south of the 
Galapagos Islands. Outside the seas in the Papagayo region, seas 
are in the 4-6 ft range. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong gap winds will pulse at night 
over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Tue morning. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds are expected across the Gulf of Panama 
today. Gentle to moderate breezes will prevail elsewhere into 
mid week. A large SW swell will reach the Galapagos waters
through mid week. Reduced visibility in haze will be possible 
from Guatemala to Nicaragua due to smoke produced by agricultural
fires. 
 
...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate to fresh winds are noted from 05N to 22N and west of 
115W. Gentle to moderate winds are noted from 08N to 11N between
95W and 112W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are 
in the 7-9 ft range from 03N to 15N and west of 118W. Large SW 
swell is supporting seas of 8 to 10 ft S of 03N between 103W and 
131W. Seas in the 5-7 ft range prevail elsewhere. 

For the forecast, NE swell will combine with southerly swell to 
continue producing seas of 8 to 9 ft between 05N and 15N west of
110W for the next several days. Moderate to fresh winds across 
the tradewind belt S of 20N. The large SW swell will continue 
building the seas to 10 ft near and S of the Equator through 
Tue night.

$$
ERA