000
AXPZ20 KNHC 261527
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sat Nov 26 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N76W to 10N113W to 08N140W. 
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 07N
to 12N between 82W and 128W. Scattered moderate convection is
evident from 07N to 10N W of 134W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh winds are diminishing this morning in the Gulf of
Californiasouthward to offshore Cabo Corrientes, along with the
NE Gap winds W of Baja California. Seas have diminished some, to
5 to 7 ft, with 4 to 6 ft in Gulf of California waters. Farther 
south, light to gentle N winds and moderate seas are evident 
across the offshore waters of southern Mexico to Puerto Angel.

For the forecast, strong high pressure over the Great Basin of 
United States will continue to moderate to fresh winds over most
of the Gulf of California through midday before diminishing 
quickly Sun. These winds will spread through the gaps in the 
mountains over Baja California into the waters west of Baja 
California, particularly between Cabo San Lazaro and Punta 
Eugenia today. High pressure will then prevail across the region 
through Mon. Fresh to locally strong SW winds will develop in the
northern Gulf of California Mon afternoon into Tue morning ahead
of an approaching cold front. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL 
AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate E to ESE winds prevail across the Papagayo region this
morning. Light to gentle variable winds and 4-6 ft seas in 
mainly SW swell prevail elsewhere north of the monsoon trough 
along 09.5N. Mainly moderate S to SW winds are occurring south of
the monsoon trough. Seas are 4-6 ft in SW swell south of the 
monsoon trough, except 2-3 ft in the lee of the Galapagos 
Islands.

For the forecast, moderate winds and seas will persist across 
the region into early next week as a weak pressure pattern 
prevails. Fresh gap winds will develop and pulse to strong each 
night across the Gulf of Papagayo region Mon night through Wed 
night. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 998 mb low pressure system is centered west of the area near 
29N147W. A stationary front to the east of the low extends N to 
S along 140W between 25N and 30N. Scattered moderate convection
is noted along and east of the front to 138W. The associated 
pressure gradient is producing fresh to strong SE winds across 
the NW corner of the forecast region, mainly N of 24N and W of 
138W. Seas are 10 to 12 ft in this area in a combination of SE 
wind waves and NW swell. Farther to the southeast, fresh trade 
winds and seas 7 to 9 ft are evident from 14N to 21N between 120W
and 126W, south of a broad area of high pressure dominating the 
waters north of 20N. Moderate winds and seas are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, the extratropical cyclone west of the area 
will drift northward through Sat night, then move NW on Sun 
while weakening. To the east of this system, fresh to strong SE 
to S winds will persist across the waters north of 25N and west 
of 138W through early Sun morning. Large NW swell will continue 
to propagate across much of the northern and western waters 
through Sun night, sending seas of 8 ft or greater as far east as
124W and as far south as 04N. Marine conditions will begin to 
gradually improve Mon through mid week. Looking ahead, a strong
cold front is expected to approach the far NW waters Thu morning.

$$
KONARIK