000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240917
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Oct 24 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 102W/103W north of 03N, 
moving west at around 10 kt. Convection is limited near the wave 
axis. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 09N100W to 13N110W to
12N120W to a 1009 mb low pres near 13N130W to 10N140W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is near 07N92W, near 
15N115W, and from 13N to 15N between 126W and 130W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Roslyn, which has dissipated over east-central Mexico. Lingering 
heavy rainfall from the remnants of Roslyn could lead to flash 
flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged terrain over 
coastal west-central Mexico.

A dissipating cold front extends across the central Gulf of
California to near 25N118W then continues westward as a shearline
to 24N140W. Moderate NW to N winds follow the front with seas of
8-11 in NW swell across the offshore waters of Baja California. 
In the Gulf of California, fresh to locally strong W to NW winds
are noted per scatterometer data in the wake of the front with
seas of 4-6 ft. Elsewhere along the coast of Mexico light to
gentle westerly winds prevail with seas of 4-6 ft in SW swell.

For the forecast, the front will dissipate in about 12-24 hours.
Then, a ridge will dominate the offshore forecast waters of Baja
California during the next several days producing mainly gentle 
to moderate NW to N winds. Seas of 8 to 10 ft will continue to 
propagate across the waters N of Punta Eugenia today and will 
subside below 8 ft late tonight into Tue. In the Gulf of 
California, fresh to strong northerly winds in the wake of the 
front will persist through this evening, with seas building to 5
or 6 ft. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds prevail N of the monsoon trough with gentle
to moderate southerly winds S of the monsoon trough. Seas are 
5-7 ft in SW swell. 

For the forecast, winds will pulse to moderate in offshore southern
Nicaragua and the Gulf of Papagayo through Tue. Light to gentle 
winds will prevail north of the monsoon while moderate to occasionally
fresh S-SW winds will prevail south of the monsoon trough through
midweek. Seas of 4-6 ft in SW swell will dominate most of the offshore
forecast waters. Additional pulses of long period SW swell will reach
the waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands by Tue.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

As previously mentioned, a dissipating cold front extends across
the central Gulf of California to near 25N118W then continues 
westward as a shearline to 24N140W.. Fresh to strong NE winds are
noted N of the front and W of 130W with seas of 8 to 10 ft. 
Elsewhere N of the front fresh northerly winds are observed with 
seas of 8-11 ft in NW swell, highest N of 28N between 118W and 
125W. High pressure follows the front and dominates the remainder
of the northern forecast waters.

For the forecast, the front will dissipate in about 12-24 hours
while moving farther S. Seas of 8-11 ft in northerly swell in the
wake of the front will gradually subside below 8 ft through Tue.
High pressure will dominate the waters N of the monsoon trough 
and W of 110W over the next several days. Seas of 8-9 ft will
reach again the NE waters by Wed.

$$
GR