000 AXPZ20 KNHC 252122 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sun Sep 25 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2130 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Post-Tropical Cyclone Newton is centered near 18.4N 117.1W at 25/2100 UTC moving SW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Peak seas to 9 ft within 60 nm N semicircle. Scattered moderate convection is within 45 nm of center. On the forecast track, wind speeds and seas will gradually decrease through midweek. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 12N86W to 08N109W to 12N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 14N between 86W and 106W, and from 07N to 15N between 112W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the Special Features section for details on the now Post-Tropical Cyclone Newton. Aside from Newton, moderate to fresh NW winds are across the Baja California Norte offshore waters while light to gentle variable winds are elsewhere in the Baja California Sur offshore waters. Seas along the Baja peninsula are in the 4 to 6 ft range in mixed swell. In the Gulf of California, light variable winds prevail with seas to 3 ft. Fresh gap winds are pulsing in the region of Tehuantepec with seas to 6 ft. Gentle to moderate NW winds are across the remainder SW Mexican offshore waters with seas to 6 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, Post-Tropical Cyclone Newton will move to 17.6N 118.1W Mon morning, 16.4N 119.3W Mon afternoon, 15.1N 120.5W Tue morning, 14.3N 121.6W Tue afternoon, 13.0N 123.5W Wed morning, and dissipate Wed afternoon. Moderate NW winds will continue to dominate the Baja California Norte offshore waters through early week. Fresh N to NE winds will continue to pulse at night in the region of Tehuantepec, increasing to strong speeds Tue night and continuing through the week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh S to SW winds prevail south of the monsoon trough S of 05N or across the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands offshore waters with seas in the 5 to 8 ft range. North of 05N winds are mainly light to gentle and variable, except in the areas of strong convection in Nicaragua and El Salvador offshore zones where gusty winds are likely. Seas N of the monsoon trough range between 5 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. For the forecast, fresh SW winds will prevail between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador through Tue as southerly swell continue to propagate across the region. Winds will diminish to gentle to moderate by the middle of the week. Seas to 8 ft are expected through the middle of the week in southerly swell. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... See the Special Features above for details on Post-Tropical Cyclone Newton. Surface ridging prevails across the area, anchored by a 1028 mb high centered near 40N135W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds prevail N of the monsoon trough and W of 125W with seas of 5-7 ft. Moderate to fresh S to SW winds prevail south of the monsoon trough with seas to 9 ft in southerly swell. For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the northern forecast waters through mid-week. Pulses of cross-equatorial southerly swell will propagate across the forecast waters east of 120W, and maintain seas ranging from 8 to 10 ft along 06N-07N through Thu. Winds south of the monsoon trough will freshen E of 120W by on Mon and continue through the week. $$ ERA