730 AXPZ20 KNHC 251528 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Sun Sep 25 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Tropical Depression Newton is centered near 19.0N 116.4W at 25/1500 UTC moving WSW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas to 9 ft within 60 nm N semicircle. Scattered moderate convection is from 19N to 21N between 115W and 117W. On the forecast track, Newton should degenerate into a remnant low tonight or early Monday, and the wind speed is forecast to gradually decrease through midweek. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 11N87W to 08N110W to 12N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 17N between 83W and 105W, and from 07N to 14N between 112W and 139W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the Special Features section for details on T.D. Newton. Aside from Tropical Depression Newton, moderate to fresh NW winds are across the Baja California Norte offshore waters while light to gentle variable winds are elsewhere in the Baja California Sur offshore waters. Seas along the Baja peninsula are in the 4 to 6 ft range in mixed swell. In the Gulf of California, light variable winds prevail with seas to 3 ft. Fresh gap winds are pulsing in the region of Tehuantepec with seas to 6 ft. Gentle to moderate NW winds are across the remainder SW Mexican offshore waters with seas to 6 ft in SW swell. For the forecast, Tropical Depression Newton will become a remnant low and move to 18.3N 117.4W this evening, 17.1N 118.7W Mon morning, 15.8N 120.0W Mon evening, 14.5N 121.5W Tue morning, 13.5N 123.0W Tue evening, and dissipate Wed morning. Moderate NW winds will continue to dominate the Baja California Norte offshore waters through early next week. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds will continue to pulse at night in the region of Tehuantepec, increasing to fresh to strong speeds Mon night into Tue and continuing through the week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh S to SW winds prevail south of the monsoon trough S of 05N or across the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands offshore waters with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. North of 05N winds are mainly light to gentle and variable, except in the areas of strong convection in Nicaragua and El Salvador offshore zones where gusty winds are likely. Seas N of the monsoon trough range between 5 to 6 ft in S to SW swell. For the forecast, winds between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador will increase to fresh S to SW winds today as southerly swell continue to propagate across the region. Seas to 8 ft are expected with this swell through Mon when winds are forecast to gradually diminish back to moderate speeds. Winds will further diminish to gentle to moderate by the middle of the week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... See the Special Features above for details on T.D. Newton. Surface ridging prevails across the area, anchored by a 1025 mb high centered near 41N134W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds prevail N of the monsoon trough and W of 125W with seas of 5-7 ft. Moderate to fresh S to SW winds prevail south of the monsoon trough with seas to 9 ft in southerly swell. For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the northern forecast waters through mid-week. Pulses of cross-equatorial S to SW swell will propagate across the forecast waters east of 120W, and maintain seas to 9 ft along the equator through Thu. Winds south of the monsoon trough will freshen E of 120W by Tue and continue through the week. $$ ERA