000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290348
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Aug 29 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 108W, from 03N to 16N, moving
west at around 10-15 kt. Associated convection is described
below.

A tropical wave has its axis along 132W from 03N to 18N, moving 
west at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted across the northern
portion of the wave mainly N of 16N.

A tropical wave is along 138W, from 03N to 21N, moving west at 
around 10-15 kt. Associated convection is described below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends off the coast of southern Nicaragua
near 11N86W to 15N111W to 15N128W to beyond 11N140W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 17N
between 84W and 122W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
07N to 18N between 127W and 140W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh southerly winds are noted in the northern Gulf
of California, with moderate to locally fresh winds noted along
Baja California Norte coastline. Seas to 3 ft prevail across the
northern Gulf, and 2-4 ft are noted in the waters across the 
southern Gulf. Light to gentle winds prevail across the area with
seas 5-6 ft.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds are expected to pulse
to fresh off Baja California at night through mid-week. Light to
gentle variable winds will continue to prevail elsewhere through
midweek. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle variable winds are north of the monsoon trough, 
with seas to 5 ft in SW swell. South of the monsoon trough, 
gentle to moderate southerly winds prevails, with seas 5-6 ft in
S to SW swell. Otherwise, strong thunderstorms are noted across
the Central American offshore waters in addition to the Colombia
coast. 

For the forecast, light to gentle variable winds will prevail N
of the monsoon trough through the middle of next week. Winds S of
the monsoon trough gentle to moderate winds are expected through
the forecast period.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure centered well north of the area continues to 
dominate the weather pattern. Across the waters north of the 
monsoon trough and roughly west of 120W, moderate NE to E winds 
prevail with seas of 5-6 ft. Gentle to moderate S to SW winds 
and seas to 7 ft are south of the monsoon trough in SW swell, 
except between the Galapagos Islands and 106W where fresh 
southerly winds are present.

For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the 
forecast region north of the monsoon trough through the weekend
and into early next week. A new set of SW swell may reach 03.4S 
and west of 100W beginning on Mon night, with seas reaching 8 ft.
Elsewhere, a pair of surface troughs will develop in the 
vicinity of the monsoon trough by mid-week enhancing winds/seas 
from 10N-20N between 110W and 120W.

$$
AReinhart