000 AXPZ20 KNHC 280356 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sun Aug 28 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0330 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave has its axis along 102W, from 04N to 16N, moving west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted at this time. A tropical wave has its axis along 124W from 02N to 17N, moving west at 5-10 kt. Associated convection is described below. A tropical wave is along 133W, from 03N to 22N, moving west at around 10 kt. Associated convection is described below. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Costa Rica near 10N86W to 14N104W to 15N120W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 14N between 80W and 95W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 20N between 101W and 120W and from 10N to 20N between 124W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted off the Baja California coast with seas 5-6 ft due to a slight tightening of pressure gradient across this area. Moderate to locally fresh winds are also noted in across the northern and central Gulf of California with seas to 3 ft. Mostly light to gentle variable winds prevail elsewhere with seas within 4-6 ft in S to SW swell. Otherwise, isolated thunderstorms are noted off the coast of Sinaloa, Nayarit, and Jalisco. For the forecast, winds will become gentle to moderate across Baja California and the Gulf of California on Sun. Winds are expected to continue pulsing to locally fresh off Baja California at night through midweek. Light to gentle variable winds will continue to prevail elsewhere through midweek. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle variable winds are north of the monsoon trough, with seas to 5 ft in SW swell. South of the monsoon trough, mostly gentle to moderate southerly winds prevails, with seas 5-7 ft in S to SW swell. Locally fresh southerly winds are likely occurring in the Ecuador and Colombia offshore waters S of 06N. Otherwise, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is across the Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia offshore waters. For the forecast, light to gentle variable winds will prevail N of the monsoon trough through the middle of next week. Winds S of the monsoon trough will diminish back to gentle to moderate speeds by Sun. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure centered well north of the area continues to dominate the weather pattern. Across the waters north of the monsoon trough and roughly west of 120W, moderate NE to E winds prevail with seas of 5-7 ft. Gentle to moderate S to SW winds and seas to 7 ft are elsewhere south of the monsoon trough in SW swell, except between the Galapagos Islands and 106W where fresh southerly winds are present. For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the forecast region north of the monsoon trough through the weekend and into early next week. A new set of SW swell may reach 03.4S and west of 100W Mon night. Otherwise, mainly 4 to 7 ft seas will prevail into early next week. $$ AReinhart