434 AXPZ20 KNHC 251354 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Thu Aug 25 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0700 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave has its axis along 91W, just northeast of the Galapagos Islands, north of 01N to across Guatemala, and is drifting west at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 86W and 96W. A tropical wave has its axis near 114W, southwest of the Revillagigedo Islands, from 01N to 15N, and is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 106W and 116W. A tropical wave is along 121W, from 01N to 21N, moving west at 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 15N between 116W and 126W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 12N121W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 96W and 106W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 10N between 126W and 130W. Also, scattered moderate convection has developed in the Gulf of Panama, from 03N to 08N, E of 80W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Weak surface ridging extending across the offshore waters from the northwest is supporting mainly light to gentle winds, although some locally moderate NW winds are occurring offshore the southernmost parts of Baja California. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in mainly long- period SW swell. In the Gulf of California, seas are 3 ft or less north of the entrance. For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient is forecast to prevail across the region and support mainly light to gentle NW winds and slight to moderate seas across the Baja California peninsula offshore waters north of Cabo San Lazaro through tonight, before high pressure building SW toward the area leads to winds increasing to moderate to fresh Fri into Sat. Mainly gentle variable winds elsewhere, except for the Gulf of California where moderate to locally fresh SE winds will occur Sat and Sat night. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle variable winds are north of the monsoon trough, with seas of 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. South of the monsoon trough, gentle to locally moderate southerly winds prevails, with seas of 5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell, except 3 to 5 ft offshore Colombia. Robust convection that has formed overnight in the Gulf of Panama may be leading to locally higher winds and seas. For the forecast, mainly gentle winds are expected across the offshore forecast waters through the weekend, although periods of moderate S winds will impact areas offshore Colombia and Ecuador starting Fri. Southerly swell with moderate seas will propagate across the Ecuador, The Galapagos, and Colombia offshore waters through the weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure centered well north of the area continues to dominate the weather pattern for waters north of the monsoon trough and west of 125W, with mainly moderate NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft. Mainly gentle winds and 5 to 6 ft seas are elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate southerly winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft are south of the monsoon trough in SW swell, highest near and just N of the Equator. For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the forecast region north of the monsoon trough through the weekend. Locally fresh southerly winds south of the monsoon trough and east of 120W combined with southerly swell are leading to a period of seas in the vicinity of 7 to 9 ft this morning. No major changes in the marine conditions are expected elsewhere. $$ KONARIK