180 
AXPZ20 KNHC 250145
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Aug 25 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0100 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis along 90W, just northeast of the 
Galapagos Islands, north of 01N to across El Salvador and 
Guatemala, and is moving west at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 15N between 85W and 95W. 

A tropical wave has its axis near 113W, southwest of the 
Revillagigedo Islands, from 01N to 16N, and is moving west at 
around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to
14N between 106W and 116W.

A tropical wave is along 121W, from 01N to 21N, moving west at 
5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to
14N between 116W and 126W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 12N87W to 12N109W to 13N133W to 
11N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 12N
between 95W and 106W and from 07N to 10N between 126W and 130W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Weak surface ridging extending across the offshore waters from
the northwest is supporting mainly light to gentle winds. Seas
are 4 to 6 ft in mainly long-period SW swell. In the Gulf of 
California, moderate SE winds are present in the northern Gulf, 
with gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are 3 ft or less north of the 
entrance.

For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient is forecast to prevail
across the region and support mainly light to gentle NW winds 
and slight to moderate seas across the Baja California peninsula 
offshore waters north of Cabo San Lazaro through Thu night, 
before high pressure building SW toward the area leads to winds 
increasing to moderate to fresh Fri and Fri night. Mainly gentle
variable winds elsewhere, except for the Gulf of California 
where moderate to locally fresh SE winds will occur Sat and Sat 
night. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

The surge of winds near the Papagayo region has diminished this
evening, although some locally fresh winds remain. Otherwise, light
to gentle variable winds are north of the monsoon trough, with 
seas of 4 to 6 ft in SW swell. South of the monsoon trough, 
gentle to locally moderate southerly winds prevails, with seas of
5 to 7 ft in S to SW swell, except 3 to 5 ft offshore Colombia.

For the forecast, mainly gentle winds are expected across the offshore
forecast waters into the weekend, although periods of moderate S
winds will impact areas offshore Colombia and Ecuador. Southerly
swell with moderate seas will propagate across the Ecuador, The
Galapagos, and Colombia offshore waters into the weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure centered well north of the area continues to 
dominate the weather pattern for waters north of the monsoon
trough and west of 120W, with mainly moderate NE winds and seas 
of 4 to 7 ft. Mainly gentle winds and 5 to 6 ft seas are 
elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate 
southerly winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft are south of the monsoon 
trough in SW swell, highest near and along the Equator.

For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the 
forecast region north of the monsoon trough through the weekend.
Locally fresh southerly winds south of the monsoon trough and 
east of 120W combined with southerly swell are leading to a 
period of seas in the vicinity of 7 to 9 ft through Thu. No 
major changes in the marine conditions are expected elsewhere.

$$
KONARIK