000
AXPZ20 KNHC 190730
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Aug 19 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis near 93W north of 03N, moving west 
at around 10 kt. No significant convection is evident near the 
wave axis over the eastern Pacific waters.

A tropical wave has its axis near 107W north of 03N, moving west
at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N 
to 14N between 103W and 113W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 13N119W to 11N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 08N east of 
84W and from 08N to 12N W of 136W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to locally moderate winds prevail off Baja California 
Norte. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere across the open waters
off Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range. Mainly gentle winds 
and seas of 2-3 ft prevail over the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, low pressure over the Colorado River valley will
support moderate to fresh winds across the northern Gulf of
California through tonight. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas 
across Mexican offshore waters through Tue night. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh winds are in the Gulf of Papagayo, with light to gentle 
winds elsewhere north of 04N. Moderate winds prevail south of 
04N. Seas are in the 6-7 ft range north of 08N, and 8-9 ft in 
southerly swell south of 08N. 

For the forecast, fresh winds will pulse across the Gulf of 
Papagayo and the coast of Nicaragua today. The swell will subside
into Sat, with mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
across the region into early next week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The remnant low of Ivette is centered near 18N119W, with a
minimum central pressure of 1010 mb. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 90 to 120 nm N of the center, but 
overall the low is weakening. Seas are estimated to still be near
6 ft. Winds and seas will continue to decrease through tonight.

Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of 
the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Mainly moderate NE to E 
winds are north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W, where 
seas are 4-7 ft. Moderate S winds are S of the monsoon trough 
with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, no major changes are expected.

$$
KONARIK