000
AXPZ20 KNHC 172032
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Aug 17 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis near 86W north of 03N, moving west 
at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is evident near the 
wave axis.

A tropical wave has its axis near 100W/101W north of 03N, moving
west at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N85W to 11N100W to 17N117W to 
12N125W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 
07N to 17N between 97W and 110W, and from 15N to 19N between 116W
and 120W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 08N to 12N between 122W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to locally moderate winds prevail across the open waters
off Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range. Moderate to locally
fresh winds and seas of 3-4 ft are in the northern Gulf of
California. Light to gentle winds and seas of 2-3 ft prevail over
the remainder of the Gulf waters. 

For the forecast, relatively weak pressure pattern will support 
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across 
Mexican offshore waters through Mon. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle breezes persist north of 05N, with 4 to 6 ft 
seas. Gentle to moderate SW winds and 7 to 10 ft seas in SW swell
are noted south of 05N. 

For the forecast, moderate SW winds will prevail across the 
offshore waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Island through 
the forecast period. SW swell will continue across the Central 
America offshore waters south of 05N through Thu night. Fresh 
winds will pulse across the Gulf of Papagayo and the coast of 
Nicaragua Thu night and Fri. Light to gentle winds and moderate 
seas will prevail across the northern Central America offshore 
waters through Sun. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The remnant low of Ivette is centered near 18N117W. Moderate to 
locally fresh winds continue around the remnant low of Ivette, 
with seas to 6 ft. Winds and seas will continue to decrease 
tonight. 

Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of 
the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate NE to E 
winds are north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W, where 
seas are 4-7 ft. Moderate S to SW winds are S of the monsoon 
trough with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, no major changes are expected elsewhere 
through the middle of next week.

$$
AL