000
AXPZ20 KNHC 170830
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Aug 17 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0820 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 80W through central Panama north of 
03N, drifting west at 5 to 10 kt. No active weather is observed 
near this wave.

A tropical wave has its axis near 85W north of 03N, moving west 
at 5 kt. No significant convection is evident near the wave axis.

A tropical wave has its axis near 98W north of 03N, moving west 
at around 10 kt. Scattered convection is evident from along the
Mexican coast north of 15N between 99W and 101W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 11N100W to 14N109W. It
resumes from 14N120W to 12N125W to 12N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 09N to 12N between 125W and 130W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The remnant low of Ivette is still centered just to the south of
Clarion Island. A recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated 
winds were down to 15 kt on the north side of the low pressure.
Seas may still be as high as 6 ft, but will subside today.

Elsewhere, a relatively weak pressure pattern is supporting gentle
to moderate NW winds off Baja California north of Cabo San 
Lazaro. Seas are 5 ft north of Punta Eugenia in NW swell, 
reaching near 6 ft close to Guadalupe Island. Light to gentle 
breezes are noted elsewhere, with 3 to 5 ft seas in open waters 
in mostly SW swell south of 20N, and NW to N swell north of 20N. 
Gentle to moderate winds are over the northern Gulf of 
California, with light to gentle winds and slight seas in the 
remainder of the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and slight to 
moderate seas will persist through Sat. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle breezes persist north of 05N, with 3 to 5 ft 
seas. Gentle to moderate SW winds and 6 to 9 ft seas in SW swell
are noted south of 05N. 

For the forecast, moderate SW winds will prevail across the 
offshore waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Island through 
the forecast period. SW swell to 8 ft in this region will 
continue to spread northward towards the Central America offshore
waters south of 05N through the week. Fresh winds will pulse 
across the Gulf of Papagayo and the coast of Nicaragua Thu night 
and Fri. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will prevail 
across the northern Central America offshore waters through Sun.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Winds to 20 kt with seas to 6 ft will subside today west of 
Clarion Island, associated with the remnant low of Ivette. 

Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of 
the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate NE to E 
winds are north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W, where 
seas are 4-7 ft. Moderate S to SW winds are S of the monsoon 
trough with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, no major changes are expected elsewhere 
through the middle of next week.

$$
Christensen