000
AXPZ20 KNHC 170255
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Aug 17 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0250 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is along 79W through central Panama north of 03N,
drifting west at 5 kt. No active weather is observed near this 
wave.

A tropical wave has its axis near 84W north of 03N, moving west 
at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is evident near the 
wave axis over Pacific waters.

A tropical wave has its axis near 98W north of 03N, moving west 
at around 10 kt. Scattered convection is evident from 09N to 11N
between 96W and 98W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 11N100W to 14N109W. It
resumes from 14N120W to 12N125W to 12N140W. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 11N between 125W
and 128W, and from 10N to 12N between 138W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Seas are still as high as 6 ft near Clarion Island,
and are the lingering effects of Ivette which has since weakened
southwest of the island. These seas will subside through Wed.

Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NW winds prevail off Baja 
California north of Cabo San Lazaro. Seas are 5 ft north of 
Punta Eugenia in NW swell, reaching near 6 ft close to Guadalupe
Island. Light to gentle breezes are noted elsewhere, with 3 to 5
ft seas in open waters in mostly SW swell south of 20N, and NW 
to N swell north of 20N. Gentle to moderate winds are over the 
northern Gulf of California, with light to gentle winds and 
slight seas in the remainder of the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds and slight to 
moderate seas will persist through Sat. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle breezes persist north of 05N, with 3 to 5 ft 
seas. Gentle to moderate SW winds and 6 to 9 ft seas in SW swell
are noted south of 05N. 

For the forecast, moderate SW winds will prevail across the 
offshore waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Island through 
the forecast period. SW swell to 8 ft in this region will 
continue to spread northward towards the Central America offshore
waters south of 05N through the week. Fresh winds will pulse 
across the Gulf of Papagayo and the coast of Nicaragua Thu night 
and Fri. Light to gentle winds and moderate seas will prevail 
across the northern Central America offshore waters through Sun.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Winds to 20 kt with seas to 6 ft will persist into Wed west of
Clarion Island, associated with the remnant low of Ivette. 

Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of 
the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Gentle to moderate NE to E 
winds are north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W, where 
seas are 4-7 ft. Moderate S to SW winds are S of the monsoon 
trough with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range.

For the forecast, no major changes are expected elsewhere 
through the middle of next week.

$$
Christensen