303 AXPZ20 KNHC 150335 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Aug 15 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0300 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Tropical Depression Ten-E is centered near 17.8N 113.5W at 15/0300 UTC moving WSW at 3 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. The center of Ten-E remains exposed under strong easterly shear keeping scattered showers and thunderstorms within 60 nm SW and 30 nm NE of the center. Seas are ranging between 8-9 ft in the northern semicircle of the system, between Clarion and Socorro Island. Ten-E will weaken slightly overnight and is forecast degenerate into a remnant low by late Monday near Clarion Island. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends along 88W north of 05N, moving west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted with this tropical wave. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... Segment of the monsoon trough extend from 10N85W to 11N102W, and from 15N115W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 09N to 13N between 127W and 130W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Refer to the Special Features section for details on T.D. Ten-E. Moderate NW winds prevail off Baja California north of Cabo San Lazaro, with fresh winds possibly funneling along the coast. Seas are 4 to 6 ft north of Punta Eugenia in NW swell. Farther south, fresh to strong winds are noted between Socorro Island and Clarion Island related to Ten-E, with seas estimated to be as high as 9 ft in this area. Light to gentle breezes are noted elsewhere, with 3 to 5 ft seas in open waters in mostly SW swell south of 20N, and NW to N swell north of 20N. Light and variable winds and slight seas are noted in the Gulf of California. For the forecast, Tropical Depression Ten-E is east of Clarion Island near 17.8N 113.5W 1007 mb at 8 PM PDT, moving WSW at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Ten-E will move to the south of Clarion Island to 17.7N 113.9W Mon morning, then continue to drift southwest becoming a remnant low near 17.5N 114.4W by Mon evening and dissipating west of the area through mid week. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas will persist through Fri. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle breezes persist north of 05N, with 3 to 5 ft seas. Gentle to moderate SW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in SW swell are noted south of 05N. For the forecast, moderate SW winds will prevail across the offshore waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Island through the forecast period. Seas will build in SW swell in this region tonight and then will continue to spread northward towards the Central America offshore waters south of 05N through the week. Light to gentle variable winds and moderate seas will prevail across the northern Central America offshore waters through mid- week. Looking ahead, fresh winds may pulse across the Gulf of Papagayo and the coast of Nicaragua by late Thu. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Refer to the Special Features section above for details on T.D. Ten-E. Elsewhere, a broad surface ridge dominates the waters north of the monsoon trough and west of 120W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are north of 20N and west of 125W, where seas are 4-6 ft. Mainly gentle winds are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough between 110W and 120W. Moderate S to SW winds are S of the monsoon trough with seas to 7 ft. For the forecast, aside from T.D. Ten-E, no major changes are expected elsewhere through the middle of next week. $$ Christensen