000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220830
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Jul 22 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave has its axis near 87W north of 02W, moving 
westward around 10 kt. Nearby convection is described below.

A tropical wave has its axis near 102W north of 02N, moving 
westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is described 
below.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 11N110W to 13N125W to 
09N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
N of 02N E of 80W, and from 04N to 12N between 80W and 96W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 
105W and 120W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to locally fresh NW winds are noted offshore Baja 
California, with the strongest winds within 60 nm of the coast. 
Moderate winds are elsewhere from Cabo San Lucas to the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere. Seas 
are mainly 5 to 6 ft in southerly swell across the open waters, 4
to 5 ft near the entrance to the Gulf of California, and 3 ft or
less in the remainder of the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will continue off 
the Baja California peninsula and southwestern Mexico through 
Fri. Southerly winds will increase to fresh to strong over the 
Gulf of California Fri night and Sat, then diminish slightly to 
moderate to fresh speeds into early next week. Gentle to moderate
winds will prevail elsewhere, pulsing to moderate to fresh in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun morning through early next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Abundant shower and thunderstorm activity is occurring offshore
Colombia and Central America. Gentle E winds prevail north of 
the monsoon trough. Moderate S to SW winds are north of 02N, with
gentle winds S of 02N. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in southerly swell 
across most of the area.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail across 
the waters thereafter, pulsing to moderate to fresh in the 
Papagayo region this weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The remnant low of former TC Estelle is centered near 22.5N128W.
No deep convection is present. Peak seas are currently near 9 
ft. A westward to slightly north of westward motion is expected 
to continue until dissipation this weekend. 

Outside of the remnants of Estelle, winds are mainly moderate or
weaker, except fresh to locally strong from roughly 05N to 10N 
between 90W and 95W, along with seas to around 8 ft. Elsewhere, 
seas are generally 5 to 7 ft across the open Pacific.

For the forecast, the remnants of Estelle will maintain a loose 
pressure gradient equatorward, keeping trade winds mainly 
moderate or weaker across the area for the next few days.

$$
AL