000 AXPZ20 KNHC 220132 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Thu Jul 21 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0230 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave has its axis near 86W/87W north of 02W, moving westward around 10 kt. Nearby convection is described below. A tropical wave has its axis near 101W/102W north of 02N, moving westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is described below. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 10N110W to 14N125W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N east of 90W, and from 04N to 12N between 90W and 110W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to 13N between 122W and 135W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Moderate to locally fresh NW winds are occurring offshore Baja California, with the strongest winds within 60 nm of the coast. Moderate winds are elsewhere from Cabo San Lucas to the Revillagigedo Islands. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere. Seas are mainly 5 to 6 ft in southerly swell across the open waters, 4 to 5 ft near the entrance to the Gulf of California, and 3 ft or less in the remainder of the Gulf of California. For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will continue off the Baja California peninsula and southwestern Mexico through Fri. Southerly winds will increase to fresh to strong over the Gulf of California Fri night and Sat, then diminish slightly to moderate to fresh speeds into early next week. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere, pulsing to moderate to fresh in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun morning through early next week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Abundant shower and thunderstorm activity is occurring offshore Colombia and Central America. Gentle E winds prevail north of the monsoon trough. Moderate S to SW winds are north of 02N, with gentle winds S of 02N. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in southerly swell across most of the area. For the forecast, winds may briefly increase to fresh to strong speeds well offshore of Costa Rica and Nicaragua tonight through early Fri. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail across the waters thereafter, pulsing to moderate to fresh in the Papagayo region this weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... The remnant low of former TC Estelle is centered near 22.5N127.1W. No deep convection is present. Peak seas are currently near 10 ft. A westward to slightly north of westward motion is expected to continue until dissipation this weekend. Outside of the remnants of Estelle, winds are mainly moderate or weaker, except fresh to locally strong from roughly 05N to 10N between 90W and 100W, along with seas to around 8 ft. Elsewhere, seas are generally 5 to 7 ft across the open Pacific. For the forecast, Post-tropical cyclone Estelle and the remnants thereof will continue to weaken the pressure gradient equatorward, keeping trade winds mainly moderate or weaker across the area for the next few days. $$ AL