000
AXPZ20 KNHC 082030
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Jun 8 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 79W north of 02N, moving 
west at around 10 kt. Associated convection is noted below in the
ITCZ/monsoon trough section.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 88W north of 02N, moving 
west at around 10 kt. Associated convection is noted below in the
ITCZ/monsoon trough section.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N85W to 14N96W to 07N113W to 
07N126W. The ITCZ continues from 07N126W to 05N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 08N 
between 78W and 84W, and within 150 nm S of the monsoon trough 
between 84W and 125W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient between ridging offshore of Baja
California and lower pressure over the Gulf of California 
peninsula is supporting gentle to moderate NW winds off the Baja
California peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail over the 
remainder of the open waters off Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds
prevail over the Gulf of California with seas in the 1-3 ft 
range. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range off Baja California Norte,
and 5-6 ft elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico.

For the forecast, moderate NW winds off Baja California Norte 
will diminish by Thu night as high pressure weakens. Elsewhere, 
winds and seas will be quiescent through the rest of the week. 
Low pressure may develop over the waters south of southern Mexico
this weekend, bringing an increase in winds and seas. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate SW to W winds prevail south of 11N, and light
to gentle north of 11N. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range. 

For the forecast, little change in conditions are expected
through Friday. Winds and seas will then decrease slightly
through Sat before increasing once again Sunday. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure of 1022 mb is centered near 28N140W, with 
associated surface ridge extending SW to near the Revillagigedo 
Islands. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high 
center. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient between the high 
pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is 
supporting gentle to moderate winds north of the ITCZ to 25N. 
Light to gentle winds prevail north of the monsoon trough. Gentle
to moderate winds are south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Seas
are in the 4-7 ft range. Northerly swell will move into the
northern waters, raising seas to 8 ft north of 25N between 120W
and 130W Fri and Sat before subsiding by Sun. 

$$
AL