000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070927
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue Jun 7 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 83W north of 01N, moving 
west at around 10 kt. Associated convection is discussed below in
the monsoon trough section.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends off the border of Nicaragua/Costa 
Rica near 11N85W to 14N97W to 08N113W to 06N128W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N128W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 16N between 82W and 106W and from
05N to 09N between 113W and 122W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge prevails west of the Baja California peninsula. Low 
pressure prevails across Mexico. The pressure gradient between 
these features is supporting moderate to fresh winds off the Baja
California peninsula. Seas are 5-6 ft. Gentle to moderate winds 
prevail across the Gulf of California with seas to 3 ft. Moderate
to fresh SW winds are moving into the Oaxaca and Chiapas offshores
with 8 ft seas in southerly swell. Light to gentle winds prevail
elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will prevail off 
the Baja California peninsula through Wed night with seas 5-7 ft.
Winds and seas will decrease towards the end of the week. Mostly
gentle to moderate winds will prevail in the Gulf of California 
through the week, becoming locally fresh on Thu. Winds are 
expected to diminish across the Oaxaca and Chiapas offshores 
later today and remain mostly gentle to moderate through most of 
the week. The SW swell will subside by Wed.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Moderate to fresh southerly winds are noted off the Guatemala, 
El Salvador, and Nicaragua offshore waters. Seas are 6-8 ft in S
to SW swell. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere across 
the Central American, Colombia and Ecuador offshore waters with 
4-6 ft seas.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate SW winds will generally 
prevail across the Central American offshores through midweek.
The swell moving across the Guatemala and El Salvador offshore 
waters will start to subside by tonight. Winds will become 
gentle to moderate by midweek tonight and continue through the 
week.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure of 1023 mb is centered near 27N139W, with 
associated ridge prevailing across the waters north of 20N. 
Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center. 
Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere north of the ITCZ and 
monsoon trough. Fresh winds are noted south of the monsoon 
trough to 06N between 92W and 104W. This area of winds is 
enhancing low level convergence, supporting an area of 
convection south of the monsoon trough as mentioned above. Seas 
are also 8-9 ft in this area in SW swell. Light to gentle winds 
prevail south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ west of 105W. Seas 
are 4-6 ft across most of the basin. 

For the forecast, the fresh winds south of the monsoon trough
will diminish later today. The 8-9 ft seas will subside by
tonight. Moderate to fresh northerly winds are expected to 
continue west of the Baja California offshore waters through the 
rest of the week. Otherwise, no major changes are expected 
elsewhere through the rest of the week. 

$$
AReinhart