000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070339
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Jun 7 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 82W north of 01N, moving 
west at around 10 kt. Associated convection is discussed below in
the monsoon trough section.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Nicaragua near
12N87W to 13N96W to 09N110W to 06N129W. The ITCZ extends from
06N129W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 11N and E of 92W, from 07N to 16N between 97W and
105W, and from 06N to 09N between 113W and 123W. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge prevails west of the Baja California peninsula. Low 
pressure prevails across Mexico. The pressure gradient between 
these features is supporting moderate to fresh winds off the Baja
California peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere 
over the open waters off Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds are 
noted over the Gulf of California. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range 
off the Baja California peninsula, and 4-5 ft over the remainder 
of the open waters off Mexico. Seas over the Gulf of California 
are in the 1-3 ft range. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will prevail off 
the Baja California peninsula through Wed night with seas 5-7 ft.
Winds and seas will decrease afterwards. Gentle to locally 
moderate winds will prevail in the Gulf of California through the
week. Winds will freshen offshore Oaxaca tonight through Tue. SW
swell will move into the waters off Oaxaca tonight, then subside
by midweek.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate winds prevail south of 08N. Moderate to
locally fresh winds are noted in the Nicaragua, El Salvador, and
Guatemala offshores between 08N and 12N. Light to gentle winds
are noted elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate SW winds will generally 
prevail across the Central American offshores through midweek. A 
set of SW swell over the Guatemala and El Salvador offshore 
waters will start to subside by Tue night. Gentle to moderate 
winds will briefly diminish across the waters between Ecuador and
the Galapagos Islands Tue before increasing slightly once again.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure of 1022 mb is centered near 27N138W, with 
associated ridge prevailing across the waters north of 23N. 
Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center. 
Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere north of the ITCZ and 
monsoon trough. Fresh to strong winds are noted south of the 
monsoon trough to 05N between 92W and 108W. This area of stronger
winds is enhancing low level convergence to support a large area
of convection south of the monsoon trough as mentioned above. 
Light to gentle winds prevail west of 110W. Seas in the area of 
fresh to strong winds are in the 8-9 ft range, with 4-6 ft seas 
prevailing elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the strong winds south of the monsoon trough 
will diminish tonight, with fresh winds continuing through Tue. 
Seas of 8-9 ft seas will subside through Tue. Otherwise, no 
major changes are expected elsewhere through the middle of the  
week. 

$$
AReinhart