603 
AXPZ20 KNHC 061502
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Jun 6 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 12N86W to 14N98W to 07N130W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N130W to beyond 07N140W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted north of 01N and east of 85W,
and from 06N to 13N between 85W and 116W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A subtropical ridge is located west of the Baja California 
peninsula. Low pressure prevails across Mexico. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting moderate to fresh
winds off the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds
prevail elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. Gentle to 
moderate winds are noted over the Gulf of California. Seas are in
the 5-7 ft range off the Baja California peninsula, and 4-5 ft
over the remainder of the open waters off Mexico. Seas over the
Gulf of California are in the 1-3 ft range. 

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds will prevail off 
the Baja California peninsula through Wed night with seas 5-7 ft.
By Thu, winds will become light to gentle as seas gradually 
subside, continuing into the weekend. The Gulf of California will
experience mostly light to gentle winds, with some locally 
moderate winds through Wed. Winds will increase later in the week
to moderate to locally fresh. Moderate to fresh SW winds will 
start affecting portions of the Oaxaca and Chiapas offshore 
waters tonight through Tue. A new set of long period swell will 
also move into the area tonight and start to subside by Wed. 

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate winds prevail south of 07N, with light to
gentle winds north of 07N. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range south of
07N and 4-5 ft north of 07N. 

For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh SW winds will 
generally prevail across the Central American offshores through 
midweek. A new set of SW swell will move into the Guatemala and 
El Salvador offshore waters later today and will subside by Tue 
night. Winds across Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands will become
gentle to moderate later today and will prevail through the 
week. 

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure of 1021 mb is centered near 28N138W, with
associated ridging prevailing north of 15N. Light to gentle winds
are in the vicinity of the low. Gentle to moderate winds are
elsewhere north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough. Fresh to strong
winds are noted south of the monsoon trough to 05N between 90W
and 110W. This area of stronger winds is enhancing low level
convergence to support a large area of convection south of the
monsoon trough as mentioned above. Light to gentle winds prevail
west of 110W. Seas in the area of fresh to strong winds are in
the 8-9 ft range, with 4-6 ft seas prevailing elsewhere. 

For the forecast, the strong winds south of the monsoon trough 
will diminish by tonight, with the fresh winds continuing 
through Tue. The 8-9 ft seas will move N into the Mexico and 
Central American offshores tonight. This area of swell will 
subside by Tue night. Otherwise, no major changes are expected 
elsewhere through the middle of next week. 

$$
AL