379 
AXPZ20 KNHC 140837
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat May 14 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 08N92W to 11N111W to 
low pres near 09N117W to 06N123W. The ITCZ continues from 
06N123W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong 
convection is noted from 07N to 14N between 103W and 118W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to moderate NW winds prevail off the coast of the Baja 
California peninsula as well as the Gulf of California. Light to
gentle winds are elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. Seas
are in the 4-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 2-4
ft over the Gulf of California.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail west of 
the Baja California peninsula and the Gulf of California will 
diminish slightly this weekend. Winds will freshen west of Baja 
California Norte early next week. Light to gentle winds prevail 
elsewhere. Seas of 4-6 ft will prevail across much of the open 
waters off Mexico, and 2-4 ft over the Gulf of California. NW 
swell will propagate into the waters off Baja California Norte 
Mon bringing an increase in seas. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate S to SW monsoon flow prevails south of the
monsoon trough. Light to gentle winds prevail north of the
monsoon trough. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the waters 
between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands and 4-5 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail south of
the monsoon trough with light to gentle winds north of the 
monsoon trough. Long- period southerly swell across the region 
will build seas slightly this weekend. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters north of 10N and west of 
110W. A persistent low pressure center is analyzed within the 
monsoon trough near 09N117W. Fresh to locally strong winds, and
seas of 8-9 ft, are in the vicinity of the low. Moderate to 
fresh winds, and seas of 7-9 ft, are elsewhere north of the ITCZ
and monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate southerly winds and 5 to 
7 ft seas are noted south of 10N and west of 110W. East of 110W, 
light to gentle to winds are noted on either side of the monsoon
trough with 4 to 7 ft seas. 

For the forecast, the area of high pressure will weaken into the
weekend, allowing for winds and seas to decrease. The area of 
low pressure will drift westward within the monsoon trough with 
fresh to occasionally strong winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft.

$$
AL