000
AXPZ20 KNHC 140230
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat May 14 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 09N97W to 11N110W to 
low pres near 08N117W to 06N123W. The ITCZ continues from 
06N123W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 
05N to 09N between 81W and 104W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 07N to 15N between 104W and 118W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to moderate NW winds prevail off the coast of the Baja 
California peninsula. Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted 
over much of the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are 
elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. Seas are in the 4-6 
ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 2-4 ft over the 
Gulf of California.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail west of 
the Baja California peninsula and the Gulf of California through 
tonight before diminishing this weekend. Light to gentle winds 
prevail elsewhere. Seas of 4-6 ft will prevail across much of the
open waters off Mexico, and 2-4 ft over the Gulf of California. 
NW swell will propagate into the waters off Baja California Norte
Mon bringing an increase in seas. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate S to SW monsoon flow prevails south of the
monsoon trough. Light to gentle winds prevail north of the
monsoon trough. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the waters 
between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands and 4-5 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh gap winds will pulse across the Papagayo
region and southern Nicaragua tonight. Gentle to moderate winds 
will prevail elsewhere. Long-period southerly swell across the 
region will build seas slightly this weekend. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters north of 10N and west of 
110W. A persistent low pressure center is analyzed within the 
monsoon trough near 09N117W. Fresh to locally strong winds, and
seas of 8-9 ft, are in the vicinity of the low. Moderate to 
fresh winds, and seas of 7-9 ft, are elsewhere north of the ITCZ
and monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate Southerly winds and 5 to 
7 ft seas are noted south of 10N and west of 110W. East of 110W, 
gentle to moderate winds are noted on either side of the monsoon 
trough with 4 to 6 ft seas. 

For the forecast, the area of high pressure will weaken into the
weekend, allowing for winds and seas to diminish. The area of 
low pressure will drift westward within the monsoon trough with 
fresh to occasionally strong winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft.

$$
AL