000
AXPZ20 KNHC 131532
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Fri May 13 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 09N86W to low pres near 08N115W 
to 06N121W. The ITCZ continues from 06N121W to 05N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 12N and E of
97W, and from 08N to 14N between 100W and 119W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh NW winds prevail off the coast of Baja 
California. Fresh to strong winds are noted over much of the 
Gulf of California as well as the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Light to 
gentle winds elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. Seas are 
in the 6-8 ft range west of the Baja California peninsula, 4-7 
ft over the Gulf of California and Gulf of Tehuantepec, and 4-5 
ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh winds will prevail over the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec through today. Moderate to fresh winds will persist 
off Baja California through late today. NW swell of 8 ft will 
persist off Baja California today. Fresh to strong winds will 
prevail over the Gulf of California through this afternoon.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate S to SW monsoon flow prevails south of the
monsoon trough. Light to gentle winds prevail north of the
monsoon trough, reaching moderate to fresh speeds in the Gulf of
Papagayo. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the waters between 
Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands and 4-5 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong gap winds will prevail
across the Papagayo region and southern Nicaragua through this
afternoon, with fresh winds tonight into Sat. Gentle to moderate
winds will prevail elsewhere. Long-period southerly swell in the
region will build slightly this weekend. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the waters north of 10N and west of 
110W. Low pressure has developed within the monsoon trough near
08N115W. Fresh to strong N to NW winds and 7 to 10 ft seas 
prevail north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate 
SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted south of 10N and west of 
110W. East of 110W, gentle to moderate winds are noted on either 
side of the monsoon trough with 4 to 6 ft seas. 

For the forecast, the area of high pressure will start to weaken
into the weekend, allowing for winds and seas to diminish. The 
area of low pressure will drift westward within the monsoon 
trough with fresh to occasionally strong winds and seas of 8 to 9
ft.

$$
ERA