000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280832
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Apr 28 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from Panama near 08N82W to 09N98W to
10N112W to 08N131W. The ITCZ extends from 08N131W to beyond 
08N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted from 07N to 13N between 86W and 112W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 115W and 131W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Moderate to fresh NW winds are occurring near and NW of Punta 
Eugenia, along with seas of 7 to 9 ft. Gentle to moderate N 
winds prevail elsewhere W of Baja California, with seas of 4 to 
7 ft in NW swell. Fresh to locally strong winds are noted in the 
northern Gulf of California with seas to 4 ft. Gentle winds 
occurring across the rest of the Gulf with seas of 2 to 3 ft.  
Strong winds continue across the Gulf of Tehuantepec with seas 8
to 10 ft. Elsewhere across the southern Mexican offshores, light
to gentle winds prevail with seas 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northerly winds will diminish
by this afternoon in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The strong winds 
across the Gulf of California will end early this morning, with 
moderate to fresh winds continuing through Fri morning. Winds
across the Baja California offshores are expected to increase 
fresh to locally strong by this evening into tonight. The long- 
period NW swell will persist NW of Punta Eugenia through early 
next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light NE winds prevail N of the surface trough, with gentle to 
locally moderate S winds to the S of the trough. The latest ASCAT
pass shows fresh to strong winds prevailing near the Papagayo 
region and offshore Nicaragua. Seas of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell
are prevail across the waters, with the exception of 5 to 7 ft 
seas in mixed swell in the Papagayo region and near the Galapagos
Islands. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
persists off the El Salvador and Guatemala coasts. Scattered
moderate convection is also moving off the coast of Colombia and
into the adjacent offshore waters. 

For the forecast, long-period moderate S to SW swell will 
persist across the region through the week. The strong easterly 
winds will diminish across the Papagayo region and offshore 
Nicaragua by this morning. Expect pulsing moderate to fresh 
winds across this region through Fri. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

Moderate to fresh trades prevail N of the ITCZ to 22N and W of 
125W. Long- period NW to N swell throughout this area is 
producing seas of 8 ft. Gentle to moderate winds along with seas 
of 5-7 ft seas due to long- period S to SW swell are noted 
elsewhere.

For the forecast, northerly swell with seas to 8 ft will 
continue to linger in the western forecast waters over the next 
few days, mostly N of 09N and W of 125W. Seas will increase by 
the weekend to 8 to 10 ft in this area and subside by early next 
week. Otherwise, southerly swell should sustain 5 to 7 ft seas 
across the remainder of the basin through the week.


$$
AReinhart