000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272115
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Wed Apr 27 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from Panama near 09N80W to 08N97W to 
09N115W. The ITCZ extends from 09N115W to 09N127W to beyond 
07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 12N 
between 81W and 136W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Gale conditions ended this morning in the Gulf of Tehuantepec,
but strong winds will prevail into Thu, before diminishing
further Thu night. Seas of 8 to 11 ft will prevail into Thu.

Moderate NW winds are occurring NW of Punta Eugenia, along with 
seas of 8 to 10 ft. Gentle to moderate N winds prevail elsewhere 
W of Baja California, with seas of 4 to 7 ft in NW swell. Mainly
gentle winds are occurring in the Gulf of California, with seas 
of 2 to 3 ft. Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the 
remaining Mexican offshore waters, outside of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec, with seas 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northerly winds continue 
through Thu afternoon in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Meanwhile, 
moderate northerly winds will prevail across the Baja California 
offshores through Thu, increasing to fresh by Thu night. The 
long- period NW swell will persist NW of Punta Eugenia through 
the end of the week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle mainly NE winds prevail N of the surface trough,
with gentle to locally moderate S winds to the S of the trough. 
Fresh winds are prevailing near the Papagayo region and offshore 
Nicaragua. Seas of 4 to 6 ft in S to SW swell are prevail across
the waters, with the exception of 5 to 7 ft seas in mixed swell
in the Papagayo region. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
offshore Costa Rica and Panama. 

For the forecast, long-period moderate S to SW swell will persist
across the region through the week. Fresh easterly winds will
continue over the Papagayo region and offshore Nicaragua today
and increase strong this evening into Thu morning. Fresh winds 
will continue in that area on Thu afternoon and Fri. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

Moderate to fresh trades prevail N of the ITCZ and W of 120W. 
Long- period NW to N swell throughout this area is producing seas
of 8 to 9 ft. Gentle to moderate winds along with seas of 5-8 ft
seas due to long-period S to SW swell are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, the long-period NW to N swell will continue
decaying today, which will allow for seas to subside through 
Thu. The southerly swell should sustain 5 to 7 ft seas across 
the remainder of the basin through the week. Seas in the far 
western forecast area, N of 09N and W of 125W, could see 
northerly swell with seas 8 to 10 ft return by the weekend.

$$
KONARIK